Thursday, October 31, 2019

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.04

Twenty-third posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another absolutely SEN-SATIONAL article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.4.  Silver team came out of the gates hot on Monday night.  How hot? Let's just say it was above 1,948°F (1,064°C) because GOLD team started MELTING at the drop of the puck.

With Gold turning soft like a dump in the corner, Silver was up 3-0 through the first period.  The increased intensity from Gold was palpable, but still Griff and the Silver D preserved the shutout.  Gold got back within a single goal in the 2nd period but that was as close as they would come.  Silver fought off the mounting frustrations and buried a few more pucks midway through the third to ice the victory.  They even added a couple more (Gold-style) when the game was out of reach to make the victory 10-4 (although the website has it incorrect).  If Silver team was like Gold, they'd make the Slattery Design team fix it, but thank the hockey gods they are not.

A couple of younger Gold players thought they were playing for 8th place in the NCHC (like they probably were last season) and started taking out their frustrations on the wrong grizzled veteran, Dustin Gangelhoff.  After a few choice words, the young bucks were reminded that all leagues lead the BPHL.  At least they have played a "meaningful" hockey game in their careers.  That and $5 will get you a latte down at Starbucks.

Stars of the Game
1) Griffith Watson
2) Riley Alferd
3) Alex Blankenburg

Silver has the second of the home and home with Gold starting at RALSTON TONIGHT at 9:45 PM.  Silver extended its win streak against Gold to two games, which is a franchise record.  It'll be interesting to see the crowd turnout on HALLOWEEN night.  Free tickets if you wear a costume.

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19 (22 games):
Silver ATS 14-8-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 6-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 4-9-0
Silver Games O/U 6-15-1

Silver/Gold Recap (10/28/19)

Silver +550
Gold -680

Over 20.5 (-110)
Under 20.5 (-110)

Silver +6.5 (-110)
Gold -6.5 (+110)

Silver/Gold Odds (10/31/19)

Silver +650
Gold -880

Over 19.5 (-110)
Under 19.5 (-110)

Silver +7.5 (-110)
Gold -7.5 (+110)

Monday, October 28, 2019

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.03

Twenty-second posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another spectacular article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.3.  Silver team followed up the season opening loss with a solid win (5-2) against league newcomer, Teal.  The victory came despite playing against White team's goaltender (arguably the 3rd best net-minder in the league behind Silver's tandem), against which Silver only managed 2 markers just three days prior.

A few familiar faces were over on the Teal side (some of the 2018 Purple team) along with a couple new faces.  Overall, Teal made a good impression during their Silver team debut regarding the overall demeanor, especially in comparison to some previous teams entrance into the league.

In recent memory, any team new to the league has come in with a fire lit under their rear ends and visions of eternal glory, domination, and a league championship easily within their grasp.  It only takes about 2.5 weeks of play (funny enough that's the same time it takes to play each team once) for those visions, dreams, and aspirations to be forever crushed into oblivion.  This dream crushing has often led to frustration which in turn shifted to anger that manifested itself on the ice in the form of complete "gooning-it-up" and overall lack of respect for the fellow league members.  Only time will tell if Teal can manage to keep it respectable despite getting the shit kicked out of them for 37 more games.

Stars of the Game
1) A-A-Ron Martens
2) Mitch #4 Staiger
3) Chris Schneider (this reporter thought he may have lost his skates)

Silver opens a home and home with Gold in the season's first PRECIOUS METALS GAME starting at RALSTON TONIGHT at 8:45 PM.  Gold will obviously be looking for revenge after ending last regular season poorly against Silver.  Silver claimed the all-important Superior Metal status, which is all the Gold team members have been thinking about for the past 6 months.  If you don't recall how that game went, please take a trip down memory lane and read HERE.  If you think the O/U for tonight is a bit high, it is still 4.5 goals less than what was scored during the previous contest.

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19 (21 games):
Silver ATS 13-8-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 6-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 3-9-0
Silver Games O/U 6-14-1

Silver/Teal Recap

Silver -280
Teal +250

Over 11.5 (-110)
Under 11.5 (-110)

Silver -3.5 (+110)
Teal +3.5 (-110)

Silver/Gold Odds

Silver +550
Gold -680

Over 20.5 (-110)
Under 20.5 (-110)

Silver +6.5 (-110)
Gold -6.5 (+110)

Friday, October 25, 2019

I Still Want WINNERS

Solid week 7 staying in the BLACK.  Let's hope the student athletes don't ruin it this week.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is currently UP $410 $7,560 + $0 + ($7,150).  (Net profit/loss = Winnings + money returned from pushes - total amount wagered).

Here's a summary of NFL Week 7.

ARI +3 @ NYG  WIN 27 - 21 (Margin -6)  On the field!

MIN -1 @ DET WIN 42 - 30 (Margin -12)  Not sure how they gave up 30, but a win's a win's a win.

SF @ WAS +9.5 WIN 9 - 0 (Margin +0.5)  Shutouts covering spreads?

LAR @ ATL +3 LOSS 37 - 10 (Margin +27)  This line stunk so bad, had to try it out.

NO @ CHI -3.5 LOSS 36 - 25 (Margin +11)  Vegas continues to undervalue Saints, public wins again.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 9/NFL Week 8 picks!  Oct 22 - Oct 28 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Ohio +2.5 @ Ball State

Virginia @ Louisville +3.5

Texas @ TCU +1.5

Penn State @ Michigan State +5.5

South Carolina @ Tennessee +4.5

WAS @ MIN -16

DEN +5.5 @ IND

TB @ TEN -2.5

OAK +6.5 @ HOU

CAR @ SF -5.5

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 8/NFL Week 7 Record: 3-2-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 36-29-0 (55.38 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (8 weeks) 17-13-0 (56.67 %) VERSUS SVP 30-31  (49.18 %)
NFL 2019 Record (7 weeks):  19-16-0 (54.29 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  19 of 47 (40.43 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  -18.5 with spread.  -5 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:  -30.0 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:  18.0 with spread.  29 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -108.00  (-13.50/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +143.00 (+17.88/week vs +31.88/week spread)

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Things Are Happening

Good week 6 but again ran out of time for NCAAF so all NFL again in week 7.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is currently UP $330 $6,930 + $0 + ($6,600).  (Net profit/loss = Winnings + money returned from pushes - total amount wagered).

Here's a summary of NFL Week 6.

PHI @ MIN -3  WIN 20 - 38 (Margin -18)  Skol Bikes!

NO @ JAX -1.5 LOSS 13 - 6 (Margin +7)  Well I guess it's time to stop betting against Teddy.

HOU +4.5 @ KC WIN 31 - 24 (Margin -7)  On the field.

DAL @ NYJ +7 WIN 22 - 24 (Margin -2)  On the field.

DET +4 @ GB WIN 22 - 23 (Margin +1)  Should have been on the field but true to form, the Fudge Pack got some GAME ALTERING calls to secure the win.

Here are your 2019 NFL Week 7 picks!  Oct 15 - Oct 21 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

SEE POST HERE

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 Record: 4-1-0 (80.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 33-27-0 (55.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (7 weeks) 17-13-0 (56.67 %) VERSUS SVP 27-25  (51.92 %)
NFL 2019 Record (6 weeks):  16-14-0 (53.33 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  18 of 44 (40.91 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  -18.5 with spread.  -5 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:  -30.0 with spread.  -19 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -126.00  (-18.00/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +114.00 (+16.29/week vs +34.29/week spread)

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.02

Twenty-first posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another spectacular article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.2.  Silver team opened up the new season with a loss, albeit a loss with promise.  The score was White 7 to Silver's 2, but the game score told little of the action that took place on the ice.

There was clearly some rust for some but Silver had plenty of opportunities to make the contest much closer on both the offense and defensive ends.  Playing slightly short-handed of some regulars (notable healthy scratches were Mitch "#4" Staiger and Kyle "Facebook Party" Korbel), Silver struggled to bury easy chances and gave up too many point blank chances to White.  There were some bright spots out there including some added youth from a couple Midland students, but in the end the mistakes were too many for Silver to overcome.  When asked about his new team's performance, Player/Owner Jim DeRouchey said, "No one has ever missed the playoffs after the season's first game."  Considering all teams have already clinched a playoff spot by paying the entry fee, there hasn't been a truer statement spoken in BPHL's history.

Stars of the Game
1) Kyle Korbel (for bringing about the idea of Uber Kids - not for actual game play)
2) Ben Maenner (scored slowest goal recorded in BPHL history)
3) Dustin Gangelhoff (first tally of Silver season)

Silver (with free hotdogs dancing in their heads) have their first Thursday match up at RALSTON on 24 October at 9:45 PM.  This will be the first contest for Teal against Silver in the history of BPHL.  There have been many questions raised about the selection of the team name, especially since the reveal of the Teal team uniforms, which could only be described as "baby blue."  Also, current league teams should have been considered when coming up with the name, if not for simple purpose of following the trend of selecting a precious metal for your team.

A number of years ago, the team formerly known as Yellow insisted that they be called Gold and started adapting "Au" as their team symbol.  Some would say that the team formerly known as Gray quickly switched to be named Silver order to follow in Gold's footsteps, but in reality it was to mock them.  There has been much encouragement for other teams to join in the mockery of Gold by also changing their names to precious metals that would fit their color.  Just two years ago Cobalt burst onto the scene changing from Blue team.  Other teams simply didn't show the resolve or initiative to follow, but Red team could switch to Iron, (former) Green team to copper, White team to Platinum, Black team to Manganese.  Maybe someday the rest of the BPHL will figure out why being a precious metal brings intrigue, chaos, excitement, rivalry, and nothing but all things good into our world.

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19 (20 games):
Silver ATS 13-7-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 5-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 3-9-0
Silver Games O/U 6-13-1

Silver/White Recap

Silver +160
White -180

Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-110)

Silver +2.5 (-120)
White -2.5 (+110)

Silver/Teal Odds

Silver -280
Teal +250

Over 11.5 (-110)
Under 11.5 (-110)

Silver -3.5 (+110)
Teal +3.5 (-110)

Sunday, October 20, 2019

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.01

Twentieth posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another spectacular article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.1.  Silver team flamed out early in the 2018-19 BPHL playoffs, dropping a heartbreaker to Red by a score of 13-1 (or something like that).  Does that mean a poor start to 2019-20 season?  "Not at all," according to an unnamed source close to the club.

After many years of not having "FINAL CUT" privileges on their own roster, Silver Owner and GM Jim "The Punisher" DeRouchey and Jeff "Ketosexual" Evans have put together a roster that only involves personnel which earned their approval.  After several years of being able to shift the blame from themselves to the previous league Commissioners, Brian "Never met a Sailor Jerry bottle I couldn't finish" Maher and Mat "Slattery Design" Slattery, the spotlight has now turned directly to the faces of the Silver front office.  Will it be met with heavy criticism or mountains of praise?  Only time will tell.

Silver will have their chance to prove themselves early against a White team that returns many players from last season with one exception.  Brad "Char-Buff" Klaus has left the poignant, familiar smell of the White dressing room for LESS green pastures as he joins up with Red, hoping for a completely different kind of high - a BPHL Championship.

Stars of the Game (2018-19 Playoff)
1) Mike Klingbeil
2) Mat Slattery
3) Mark Marta

Silver opens the season at RALSTON on Monday, 21 October at 7:30 PM.  Get your tickets early, or get them late, either way plenty of good seats will be available.

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19 (19 games):
Silver ATS 13-6-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 5-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 3-8-0
Silver Games O/U 6-12-1

Silver/Red Playoff Game Recap

Silver -130
Red +140

Over 11.5 (-110) OFF
Under 11.5 (-110) OFF

Silver -1.5(+120)
Red +1.5 (-130)

Silver/White Odds

Silver +160
White -180

Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-110)

Silver +2.5 (-120)
White -2.5 (+110)

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Quick Post 3

Last couple Fridays have been busy so I haven't had time to find NCAAF winners, but here are some NFL picks.

ARI +3 @ NYG

MIN -1 @ DET

SF @ WAS +9.5

LAR @ ATL +3

NO @ CHI -3.5

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Hang In There!

Not the best week, but you can't win them all.  Baseball is over - at least for my team, so it's time to focus on the WINNERS!  Couldn't get the NCAAF picks in - ran out of time so all NFL this week.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is currently UP $40 $6,090 + $0 + ($6,050).  (Net profit/loss = Winnings + money returned from pushes - total amount wagered).

Here's a summary of NCAAF Week 6/NFL Week 5.

TCU +3.5 @ Iowa State  LOSS 24 - 49 (Margin +25)  Cripes!

Auburn @ Florida +3 WIN 13 - 24 (Margin -11)  Let's GOOOOOOOO!

Arkansas State @ Georgia State +7 WIN 38 - 52 (Margin -14)  On the field.

Liberty @ New Mexico State +4 LOSS 20 - 13 (Margin +7)  Fumbled inside the 10 yard line on the last possession.

San Diego State @ Colorado State +8 LOSS 24 - 10 (Margin +14)  Altitude didn't get to the Aztecs.

ARI @ CIN -3 LOSS 26 - 23 (Margin +3) The BENGALS suck.

MIN -5.5 @ NYG WIN 28 - 10 (Margin -18) Check out those stats for Cousins for a noon game vs a mediocre opponent following a primetime loss.

TB +3.5 @ NO LOSS 24 - 31 (Margin +7)  Teddy Two Gloves is for real (I don't know - did he play in this game)?

GB @ DAL -3.5 LOSS 34 - 24 (Margin +10) That is just a ridiculously poor effort.

CLE @ SF -3.5 WIN 3 - 31 (Margin -28) Are the 49ers for real also?

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 picks!  Oct 8 - Oct 14 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

PHI @ MIN -3

NO @ JAX -1.5

HOU +4.5 @ KC

DAL @ NYJ +7

DET +4 @ GB

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 Record: 4-6-0 (40.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 29-26-0 (52.73 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (6 weeks) 17-13-0 (56.67 %) VERSUS SVP 20-24  (45.45 %)
NFL 2019 Record (5 weeks):  12-13-0 (48.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  16 of 41 (39.02 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  -18.5 with spread.  -5 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -96.00  (-16.00/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +133.00 (+22.17/week vs +38.17/week spread)

Thursday, October 10, 2019

This Is How We Do It

As I was saying - NFL is much easier to handicap.  You can't trust those kids to do anything out there!  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($4,950) + $5,250 + $0 = $300.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of NCAAF Week 5/NFL Week 4.

BYU @ Toledo +2.5  WIN 21 - 28 (Margin -7)  On the field!

Minnesota -1.5 @ Purdue WIN 38 - 31 (Margin -7)  Gophers going 8-0 to start the season?

Georgia Tech +9 @ Temple LOSS 2 - 24 (Margin +22)  Okay.....

New Mexico +7.5 @ Liberty WIN 10 - 17 (Margin +7)  Backdoor cover winner.

UL Lafayette @ Georgia Southern +3 LOSS 37 - 24 (Margin +13)  Take notice of the Ragin' Cajuns?

NE @ BUF +7 WIN 16 - 10 (Margin +6) Bills Mafia couldn't quite take down TB12.

KC @ DET +6.5 WIN 24 - 27 (Margin +3) Lions had this won on the field until they gave up a 100 yard fumble return TD.  To that I say SKOL BIKES.

CAR +4.5 @ HOU WIN 16 - 10 (Margin -6)  On the FIELD!

MIN +1.5 @ CHI LOSS 6 - 16 (Margin +10) Figure it out Cousins!

DAL @ NO +2.5 WIN 10 - 12 (Margin -2) Teddy BUSTwater wins two in a row.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 picks!  Oct 1 - Oct 7 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

See post here

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 Record: 7-3-0 (70.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 25-20-0 (55.56 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (5 weeks) 15-10-0 (60.00 %) VERSUS SVP 18-20  (47.37 %)
NFL 2019 Record (4 weeks):  10-10-0 (50.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  14 of 35 (40.00 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -77.50  (-15.50/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +138.00 (+27.60/week vs +43.10/week spread)

That's Much More Like It!

Not that I relish losing in NCAAF betting, but I just like it to be consistent.  Using betting trends to predict winners is MUCH easier and consistent in the NFL - because they have real injury reports AND because they are professionals.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($3,850) + $3,780 + $0 = ($70).  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of NCAAF Week 4/NFL Week 3.

Michigan +3.5 @ Wisconsin  LOSS 14 - 35 (Margin +21)  Let's go BLUE? Yikes!

Boston College @ Rutgers +7.5 LOSS 30 - 16 (Margin +14)  Never again, Rutgers.

Western Michigan +4.5 @ Syracuse LOSS 33 - 52 (Margin +19)  Oh well.

Washington @ BYU +7 LOSS 45 - 19 (Margin +26)  Talk about your let downs at home.

Oregon @ Stanford +11 LOSS 21 - 6 (Margin 15)  Four out of five home dog losses ATS.

OAK @ MIN -8.5 WIN 14 - 34 (Margin -20) Cousins is HOFer at home for noon games against mediocre teams after prime time road loss.

ATL @ IND -1.5 WIN 24 - 27 (Margin -3) Superbowl hangover for Falcons is lasting a long time.

NO +4 @ SEA WIN 33 - 27 (Margin -6)  Backup QB on the road against the 12th man is only getting 4 points?  That line stunk real bad.

HOU @ LAC -3 LOSS 27 - 20 (Margin +7) Figure it out Rivers.

LAR @ CLE +3 LOSS 20 - 13 (Margin +7) Four incomplete passes from the four yard line to lose the game.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 picks!  Sep 24 - Sep 30 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

See post here

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 4/NFL Week 3 Record: 3-7-0 (30.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 18-17-0 (51.43 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (4 weeks) 12-8-0 (60.00 %) VERSUS SVP 14-15  (48.28 %)
NFL 2019 Record (3 weeks):  6-9-0 (40.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  11 of 26 (42.31 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -75.00  (-18.75/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +98.00 (+24.50/week vs +43.25/week spread)

Friday, October 4, 2019

QUICK POST 2!

Again, I'll post a recap later.  Here are some picks you're guaranteed to hate!


TCU +3.5 @ Iowa State

Auburn @ Florida +3

Arkansas State @ Georgia State +7

Liberty @ New Mexico State +4

San Diego State @ Colorado State +8

ARI @ CIN -3

MIN -5.5 @ NYG

TB +3.5 @ NO

GB @ DAL -3.5

CLE @ SF -3.5