Quick Post

Last week was ugly all around. Let's just leave it at that.  I'll post a recap later.  Here are some picks you're guaranteed to hate!


BYU @ Toledo +2.5

Minnesota -1.5 @ Purdue

Georgia Tech +9 @ Temple

New Mexico +7.5 @ Liberty

UL Lafayette @ Georgia Southern +3

NE @ BUF +7

KC @ DET +6.5

CAR +4.5 @ HOU

MIN +1.5 @ CHI

DAL @ NO +2.5

The Strangeness Continues

Complete opposite of normal operation here last week - AGAIN.  Pulled a near perfect NCAA week and went horribly in NFL.  I'll blame Vegas for not knowing ANYTHING about 90% of the teams going to week 2.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($2,750) + $3,150 + $0 = $400.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of last week.

Maryland @ Temple +7  WIN 17 - 20 (Margin -3)  On the field.

NC State @ West Virginia +7 WIN 27 - 44 (Margin -17)  On the field.

Oklahoma State @ Tulsa +14 LOSS 40 - 21(Margin +19)  Oh well.

USC at BYU +4 WIN 27 - 30 (2OT) (Margin -3)  On the field.

Texas Tech @ Arizona +2.5 WIN 14 - 28 (Margin -14)  On the field.  That's nearly a dream week.

LAC @ DET +2.5 WIN 10  - 13 (Margin -3) On the field.

KC @ OAK +7 LOSS 28 - 10 (Margin +18) Well they looked okay for a minute.

MIN +3 @ GB LOSS 16 - 21 (Margin +5) Thanks Kirk.

JAX @ HOU -9 LOSS 12 - 13 (Margin -1) Vegas is losing a shit ton of money on the NFL.

CLE -2.5 @ NYJ WIN 23 - 3 (Margin -20) Browns forgot about week 1.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 4/NFL Week 3 picks!  Sep 17 - Sep 23 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Michigan +3.5 @ Wisconsin

Boston College @ Rutgers +7.5

Western Michigan +4.5 @ Syracuse

Washington @ BYU +7

Oregon @ Stanford +11

OAK @ MIN -8.5

ATL @ IND -1.5

NO +4 @ SEA

HOU @ LAC -3

LAR @ CLE +3

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 3/NFL Week 2 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 15-10-0 (60.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (3 weeks) 12-3-0 (80.00 %) VERSUS SVP 10-11  (47.62 %)
NFL 2019 Record (2 weeks):  3-7-0 (30.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  10 of 19 (52.63 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -127.5  (-42.5/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +18.0 (+6.00/week vs +48.50/week spread)

Well That Was Interesting

Complete opposite of normal operation here last week.  Pulled a perfect NCAA week and went horribly in NFL.  I'll blame Vegas for not knowing ANYTHING about 90% of the teams going to week 1.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($1,650) + $1,890 + $0 = $240.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of last week.

Northern Illinois +22 @ Utah  WIN 17 - 35 (Margin +18)  Don't sleep on the Huskies.

South Florida +6.5 @ Georgia Tech WIN 10 - 14 (Margin +4)  Good work.

Nebraska @ Colorado +4.5 WIN 31 - 34 (OT) (Margin -3)  On the field.

San Diego State +8 @ UCLA WIN 23 - 14 (Margin -9)  On the field.  I wish every week was like this.

Miami (FL) @ North Carolina +5 WIN 25 - 28 (Margin -3)  On the field.  That's a dream week.

LAR @ CAR +2.5 LOSS 30 - 27 (Margin +3) Close but no cigar.

KC @ JAX +3.5 LOSS 40 - 26 (Margin +14) Thanks for the 1st quarter Nick.

ATL @ MIN -4 WIN 12 - 28 (Margin -16) Skol BIKES.

SF @ TB (Pick) LOSS 31 - 17 (Margin +14) Jameis has one year left? Probably less.

DEN (Pick) @ OAK LOSS 16 - 24 (Margin +8) Cancer free, the Raiders thrive!

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 3/NFL Week 2 picks!  Sep 10 - Sep 16 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Maryland @ Temple +7

NC State @ West Virginia +7

Oklahoma State @ Tulsa +14

USC at BYU +4

Texas Tech @ Arizona +2.5

LAC @ DET +2.5

KC @ OAK +7

MIN +3 @ GB

JAX @ HOU -9

CLE -2.5 @ NYJ

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 2/NFL Week 1 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 9-6-0 (60.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (2 weeks) 8-2-0 (80.00 %) VERSUS SVP 7-6  (53.85 %)
NFL 2019 Record (1 weeks):  1-4-0 (20.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  5 of 11 (45.46 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -73.0  (-36.5/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +37.0 (+18.50/week vs +55.00/week spread)

And We're Off and Running

Solid start to the 2019 season going 3-2 in the somewhat risky NCAAF week 1.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($550) + $630 + $0 = $80.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of last week.

E. Michigan @ Coastal Carolina +6  LOSS 30 - 23 (Margin +7)  Chants failed me.

Northwestern @ Stanford -6 WIN 7 - 17 (Margin -10)  A rare favorite comes in as a winner.

Georgia @ Vanderbilt +22.5 LOSS 30 - 6 (Margin +24)  That sucks.

Missouri @ Wyoming +17 WIN 31 - 37 (Margin -6)  Double digit dog straight up winner.

Georgia State +22.5 @ Tennessee WIN 38 - 30 (Margin -8)  Have a good season Vols, it was fun while it lasted.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 2/NFL Week 1 picks!  Sep 3 - Sep 9 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Northern Illinois +22 @ Utah

South Florida +6.5 @ Georgia Tech

Nebraska @ Colorado +4.5

San Diego State +8 @ UCLA

Miami (FL) @ North Carolina +5

LAR @ CAR +2.5

KC @ JAX +3.5

ATL @ MIN -4

SF @ TB (Pick)

DEN (Pick) @ OAK

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 1/NFL Week 0 Record: 3-2-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 3-2-0 (60.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (1 week) 3-2-0 (60.00 %) VERSUS SVP 2-3 (40.00 %)
NFL 2019 Record (0 weeks):  0-0-0 (0.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  2 of 4 (50.00 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:     -55.0 with spread.  +7.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -55.0  (-55.0/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +7.0 (+7.00/week vs +62.0/week spread)