Friday, November 29, 2019

Holiday Quick Post

Indiana @ Purdue +7

Wake Forest @ Syracuse +4

Alabama @ Auburn +3.5

Wisconsin @ Minnesota +3

Baylor @ Kansas +14

TB @ JAX +2.5

TEN +2.5 @ IND

NYJ @ CIN +3

GB @ NYG +6.5

NE @ HOU +3.5

MIN +3 @ SEA

Monday, November 25, 2019

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.09

Twenty-eighth posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another super sweet article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.9.  Silver lost another heart breaker to Black in the second game of the home and home by a score of 4 - 10.  Maybe if they had tried using the extra attacker for the entire third period, the result would have been different.

The equipment scratch saga came to an end - although it was close to continuing as only two small nuts were keeping the plastic steel holder in place on Robbie Barton's skate.  Christ Schneider's hip pointer again kept him out of the lineup, but Silver owner is confident it won't be for much longer.  One thing the entire team could agree on was that the aforementioned Schneider was certainly between the ages of 21 and 39.

As close as the game was in the box score (really close), the action on the ice made it seem even closer.  Due to some scheduling conflicts, Silver had to employ their emergency back-up goalie.  The net minder fared well against the potent offense of the Black team who have only registered two losses since joining the league last season.  Next article, we might even mention his name (if we learn it).

Stars of the Game
1) Burt Davis
2) Byron Marshall
3) Darth Vader (for not showing up)

Silver plays Teal in the third game of the Pre-Turkey Day Trio on Monday at RALSTON at 9:45 PM.  Free butterball turkey* with every box office ticket purchase!

*Collect your free turkey coupon after the third period of the 9:45 game.  Ticket must be purchased prior to 7:15 PM.  

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19:
Silver ATS 16-11-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 7-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 5-12-0
Silver Games O/U 8-18-1

Silver/Black Recap

Silver +90,000
Black -1,000,000

Over 18.5 (-110)
Under 18.5 (-110)

Silver +11.5 (+110)
Black -11.5 (-110)

Silver/Teal Odds

Silver -220
Teal +190

Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-110)

Silver -2.5 (+110)
Teal +2.5 (-110)

Friday, November 22, 2019

Yikes!

Not much to say about last week.  We're on to Cincinnati.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is currently UP $110 $11,550 + $110 + ($11,550).  (Net profit/loss = Winnings + money returned from pushes - total amount wagered).

Here's a summary of last week.

Florida @ Missouri +7  LOSS 23 - 6 (Margin +17)  Not good.

Alabama @ Mississippi State +19 LOSS 38 - 7 (Margin +31)  Worse.

Va. Tech @ Ga. Tech +6 LOSS 0 - 39 (Margin +39)  Oh my.

Georgia @ Auburn +3 LOSS 21 - 14 (Margin +7)  Nope.

Louisville @ North Carolina State +4 LOSS 34 - 24 (Margin +10)  Keep it coming.

DEN +10.5 @ MIN WIN 23 - 27 (Margin +4)  First win of week 11.

HOU +4 @ BAL LOSS 7 - 41 (Margin +34)  Are the Ravens for real?

ATL +5.5 @ CAR WIN 29 - 3 (Margin -26)  Well that was the surprise of the week.

NE @ PHI +3.5 LOSS 17 - 10 (Margin +7)  Cripes.

KC @ LAC +3.5 LOSS 24 - 17 (Margin +7)  No bueno.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 picks!  Nov 19 - Nov 25 WINNERS!

Oklahoma State @ West Virgina +6

Pittsburgh +3.5 @ Va. Tech

Houston +3 @ Tulsa

Nebraska @ Maryland +6

South Alabama +11 @ Georgia State

TB +4.5 @ ATL

JAX +3 @ TEN

DET @ WAS +3.5

SEA @ PHI -2

BAL @ LAR +3

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 Record: 2-8-0 (20.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 55-49-1 (52.88 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (12 weeks) 25-25-0 (50.00 %) VERSUS SVP 41-49  (45.56 %)
NFL 2019 Record (11 weeks):  30-24-1 (55.56 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  33 of 80 (41.25 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  -18.5 with spread.  -5 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:  -30.0 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:  18.0 with spread.  29 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:  -81.5 with spread.  -76 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:  -21.0 with spread.  +35 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11:  -28.5 with spread.  -32 straight up.
NFL11/NCAA12:  +74.0 with spread.  +140 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -165.00  (-13.75/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +210.00 (+17.50/week vs +31.25/week spread)

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.08

Twenty-seventh posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another stupendous article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.8.  Black team squeaked out a win against Silver on Monday by the narrow score of 13 - 3.  It was very evident the reason for the loss fell squarely on the broad shoulders of the officiating crew, who missed several calls in favor of Black.  Chris Schneider was a notable unhealthy scratch due to a mishap in the shower two weeks ago.  One would think that injuries were more likely to happen on the ice, but one would be wrong.  Get well soon, Chris.

The equipment scratch saga continued Monday as Robbie B missed the third straight game.  There was some speculation in the Silver dressing room about the reasoning for the continued scratch, whether it be a monetary issue, an equipment availability issue, or a lack of understanding of basic economics.  When asked about the situation, New Mitch was quoted as saying, "I guess he doesn't understand the concept of 'sunk costs.' "  Barton and New Mitch's MicroEcon 101 professor were unavailable for comment on the matter.

The much anticipated return of Taylor Law did not disappoint as he netted two of the three Silver goals and won several draws, easily earning 3rd star of the game honors.  Silver probably would have certainly beat the spread had they not been stuck with only 8 skaters, missing Harris, #4, Korbel (who had permission from his wife) to name a few.  Mike Klingbeil was available to fill in, but no one called him.  Even this early in the season, it might be time for the owner to question the priorities of certain players.

Stars of the Game

1) John Hoggan
2) Kris Thompson
3) Taylor Law

Silver has second game of a home and home against Black on Thursday at RALSTON at 9:45 PM.  Despite the Monday outcome, this game will still be a battle of the top teams in the BPHL standings. I recommend anyone with a million bucks to spare throw it down on Black for an EASY $100.  Just make sure you capture the spirit of the thing when you get to the window.

 Although Silver is the main team covered in these articles, it seemed worth mentioning that Teal got their first win of the season last night against the previously formidable Red team which is led by BPHL 2-time all-star goaltender (and All-Millennium Twins Fantasy Camp All-Star), Matthew Slattery (of Slattery Design).  That makes the win extra special.  Congratulations Teal!  

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19:
Silver ATS 15-11-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 7-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 5-11-0
Silver Games O/U 8-17-1

Silver/Black Recap (11/18/19)

Silver +10,000
Black -20,000

Over 16.5 (-110)
Under 16.5 (-110)

Silver +9.5 (+110)
Black -9.5 (-110)

Silver/Black Odds (11/21/19)

Silver +90,000
Black -1,000,000

Over 18.5 (-110)
Under 18.5 (-110)

Silver +11.5 (-110)
Black -11.5 (+110)

Monday, November 18, 2019

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.07

Twenty-sixth posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another stupendous article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.7.  Silver team earned a blow-out victory against Teal last Monday by a score of 7-5.  There was a notable scratch from Silver team - but it wasn't the normal type (healthy, injury, etc.), it was an equipment scratch.  This was Robbie Barton's 2nd equipment scratch of the season.  More on that story as it develops.

The Silver team absolutely crushed Teal on Monday, handing them their 6th straight loss to open the season.  Meanwhile, Silver moves to 4-2 on the year.  News around the dressing room last week was that although owner Jim D will be missing Silver's next game as he volunteered to help build the wall on the Texas southern border, Taylor "Above the" Law will be making his season debut.  This will surely give Silver the boost they need to cover the spread and maybe, just maybe, hit the over on goals of 2.5 (Silver team only).

Stars of the Game
1) Quinn White
2) Crazy Legs
3) Mark Harral

Silver has the first match up of the season against Black tonight at RALSTON at 10:00 PM.  This game will be a battle of the top teams in the BPHL standings and is sure to be a barn burner.  Come one down to Ralston Arena, we've got entertainment for the whole family!  Good seats are still available.

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19:
Silver ATS 15-10-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 7-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 5-10-0
Silver Games O/U 8-16-1

Silver/Red Recap

Silver -310
Teal +270

Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-110)

Silver -3.5 (+110)
Teal +3.5 (-110)

Silver/Black Odds

Silver +10,000
Black -20,000

Over 16.5 (-110)
Under 16.5 (-110)

Silver +9.5 (+110)
Black -9.5 (-110)

Thursday, November 14, 2019

These Lines STINK!

Just above the "winning" threshold percent this week - can't complain, but trust me, I will.  I've just thought of something maybe I should explain.  When I make the comment "On the field," it is referring to the team being an underdog and winning outright.... on the field.  Not sure if the faithful readers picked up on that, but I've used it essentially any time the underdog has won outright (which is about 45.71% of the time that I wager on them).  As I've mentioned before, probably should just start MONEYLINING THEM ALL.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is currently UP $790 $11,130 + $110 + ($10,450).  (Net profit/loss = Winnings + money returned from pushes - total amount wagered).

Here's a summary of last week.

Purdue @ Northwestern -2  LOSS 24 - 22 (Margin +2)  Remind me again why I take favorites.

Stanford @ Colorado +3.5 WIN 13 - 16 (Margin -3)  On the field.

Wake Forest @ Va. Tech +2 WIN 17 - 36 (Margin -19)  On the field!

Illinios @ Michigan State -14.5 LOSS 37 - 34 (Margin +3)  This is the one to complain about.  The most ridiculous lines of the season have come for Sparty.  This was so horrible it had to be right - and it was for 3 quarters when Sparty was up 21 points.  Taking the loss ATS I can obviously understand if not expect, but to be on the losing end the biggest comeback in Illinois school history is just dumb.

Georgia State @ Louisiana Monroe +2.5 WIN 31 - 45 (Margin -14)  Another on the field victory.

BUF @ CLE -3 PUSH 16 - 19 (Margin -3)  First push of the season in week 10.

LAR @ PIT +3.5 WIN 12 - 17 (Margin -5)  What has happened to the LAR?

CAR +5 @ GB LOSS 16 - 24 (Margin +8)  Literally inches from covering this on the last play of the game.

KC -3.5 @ TEN LOSS 32 - 35 (Margin +3)  Chefs burn me two weeks in a row.

MIN +3 @ DAL WIN 28 - 24 (Margin -4)  So Dallas must be a mediocre team or the Vikes wouldn't be able to handle them in a "prime time" game.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 picks!  Nov 12 - Nov 18 WINNERS!

Florida @ Missouri +7

Alabama @ Mississippi State +19

Va. Tech @ Ga. Tech +6

Georgia @ Auburn +3

Louisville @ North Carolina State +4

DEN +10.5 @ MIN

HOU +4 @ BAL

ATL +5.5 @ CAR

NE @ PHI +3.5

KC @ LAC +3.5

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 11/NFL Week 10 Record: 5-4-1 (55.56 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 53-41-1 (56.38 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (11 weeks) 25-20-0 (55.56 %) VERSUS SVP 39-46  (45.88 %)
NFL 2019 Record (10 weeks):  28-21-1 (57.14 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  32 of 70 (45.71 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  -18.5 with spread.  -5 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:  -30.0 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:  18.0 with spread.  29 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:  -81.5 with spread.  -76 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:  -21.0 with spread.  +35 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11:  -28.5 with spread.  -32 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -239.00  (-21.73/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +70.00 (+6.36/week vs +28.09/week spread)

Monday, November 11, 2019

Hockey News! Special Edition Vol: 2.06

Twenty-fifth posting of the news articles from the Beer and Pretzel Hockey League written by the beat writer that covers the league.  He calls himself Dickie Dunn - his true identity is unknown.

Greetings hockey fans and welcome to another stupendous article of Hockey News BPHL: Special Edition Vol: 2.6.  Silver team earned a victory in a hard-fought game against Red last Monday.  The first meeting for the two teams this season finished 7-6.

The ice sheet was tilted one way all night with at least 11 goals being scored on one end.  Luckily for Silver, they played offense in that end two times.  It's hard to say what caused that phenomenon, whether it be the lighting, the net size, or the shoddy play of each team's defense.  We can be sure that both teams have made the proper adjustments after studying the film.  If either team comes out with goalies in sunglasses or larger pads or have much better players on their roster, we'll have the reason narrowed down.  After taking a somewhat sizable lead mid-way through the first, Silver quickly surrendered the lead in the second, before netting a late equalizer and game winning goal in the third on a nifty play from the game's number one star.

There was a scary moment for Silver when veteran defenseman/forward/centerman/floater Dustin "Big Show" Gangelhoff fell awkwardly into the boards.  Although he didn't miss any shifts, he is considered day-to-day with an upper body injury.

Stars of the Game
1) New Mitch
2) ECHL guy's Crumb Catcher AKA Lady Tickler, Soup Strainer, Nose Neighbor, Lip Rug
3) Turd Ferguson

Silver has the second match up of the season against Teal tonight at RALSTON at 10:00 PM.  Silver currently trails only Black in the BPHL standings due to tie breaker rules followed by Red in 3rd place.  Come one down to Ralston Arena, we've got entertainment for the whole family!  Good seats are still available.

Remember, Dickie Dunn wrote this, so it's gotta be true

Gambling Corner
Since 2/14/19:
Silver ATS 15-9-0
Silver Money Line (as favorite) 6-3-0
Silver Money Line (as underdog) 5-10-0
Silver Games O/U 7-16-1

Silver/Red Recap

Silver +180
Red -190

Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-110)

Silver +2.0 (-110)
Red -2.0 (+110)

Silver/Teal Odds

Silver -310
Teal +270

Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-110)

Silver -3.5 (+110)
Teal +3.5 (-110)