This Is How We Do It

As I was saying - NFL is much easier to handicap.  You can't trust those kids to do anything out there!  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($4,950) + $5,250 + $0 = $300.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of NCAAF Week 5/NFL Week 4.

BYU @ Toledo +2.5  WIN 21 - 28 (Margin -7)  On the field!

Minnesota -1.5 @ Purdue WIN 38 - 31 (Margin -7)  Gophers going 8-0 to start the season?

Georgia Tech +9 @ Temple LOSS 2 - 24 (Margin +22)  Okay.....

New Mexico +7.5 @ Liberty WIN 10 - 17 (Margin +7)  Backdoor cover winner.

UL Lafayette @ Georgia Southern +3 LOSS 37 - 24 (Margin +13)  Take notice of the Ragin' Cajuns?

NE @ BUF +7 WIN 16 - 10 (Margin +6) Bills Mafia couldn't quite take down TB12.

KC @ DET +6.5 WIN 24 - 27 (Margin +3) Lions had this won on the field until they gave up a 100 yard fumble return TD.  To that I say SKOL BIKES.

CAR +4.5 @ HOU WIN 16 - 10 (Margin -6)  On the FIELD!

MIN +1.5 @ CHI LOSS 6 - 16 (Margin +10) Figure it out Cousins!

DAL @ NO +2.5 WIN 10 - 12 (Margin -2) Teddy BUSTwater wins two in a row.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 picks!  Oct 1 - Oct 7 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

See post here

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 Record: 7-3-0 (70.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 25-20-0 (55.56 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (5 weeks) 15-10-0 (60.00 %) VERSUS SVP 18-20  (47.37 %)
NFL 2019 Record (4 weeks):  10-10-0 (50.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  14 of 35 (40.00 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -77.50  (-15.50/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +138.00 (+27.60/week vs +43.10/week spread)