Hang In There!

Not the best week, but you can't win them all.  Baseball is over - at least for my team, so it's time to focus on the WINNERS!  Couldn't get the NCAAF picks in - ran out of time so all NFL this week.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is currently UP $40 = $6,090 + $0 + ($6,050).  (Net profit/loss = Winnings + money returned from pushes - total amount wagered).

Here's a summary of NCAAF Week 6/NFL Week 5.

TCU +3.5 @ Iowa State  LOSS 24 - 49 (Margin +25)  Cripes!

Auburn @ Florida +3 WIN 13 - 24 (Margin -11)  Let's GOOOOOOOO!

Arkansas State @ Georgia State +7 WIN 38 - 52 (Margin -14)  On the field.

Liberty @ New Mexico State +4 LOSS 20 - 13 (Margin +7)  Fumbled inside the 10 yard line on the last possession.

San Diego State @ Colorado State +8 LOSS 24 - 10 (Margin +14)  Altitude didn't get to the Aztecs.

ARI @ CIN -3 LOSS 26 - 23 (Margin +3) The BENGALS suck.

MIN -5.5 @ NYG WIN 28 - 10 (Margin -18) Check out those stats for Cousins for a noon game vs a mediocre opponent following a primetime loss.

TB +3.5 @ NO LOSS 24 - 31 (Margin +7)  Teddy Two Gloves is for real (I don't know - did he play in this game)?

GB @ DAL -3.5 LOSS 34 - 24 (Margin +10) That is just a ridiculously poor effort.

CLE @ SF -3.5 WIN 3 - 31 (Margin -28) Are the 49ers for real also?

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 picks!  Oct 8 - Oct 14 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

PHI @ MIN -3

NO @ JAX -1.5

HOU +4.5 @ KC

DAL @ NYJ +7

DET +4 @ GB

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 Record: 4-6-0 (40.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 29-26-0 (52.73 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (6 weeks) 17-13-0 (56.67 %) VERSUS SVP 20-24  (45.45 %)
NFL 2019 Record (5 weeks):  12-13-0 (48.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  16 of 41 (39.02 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  -18.5 with spread.  -5 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -96.00  (-16.00/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +133.00 (+22.17/week vs +38.17/week spread)