Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Things Are Happening

Good week 6 but again ran out of time for NCAAF so all NFL again in week 7.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is currently UP $330 $6,930 + $0 + ($6,600).  (Net profit/loss = Winnings + money returned from pushes - total amount wagered).

Here's a summary of NFL Week 6.

PHI @ MIN -3  WIN 20 - 38 (Margin -18)  Skol Bikes!

NO @ JAX -1.5 LOSS 13 - 6 (Margin +7)  Well I guess it's time to stop betting against Teddy.

HOU +4.5 @ KC WIN 31 - 24 (Margin -7)  On the field.

DAL @ NYJ +7 WIN 22 - 24 (Margin -2)  On the field.

DET +4 @ GB WIN 22 - 23 (Margin +1)  Should have been on the field but true to form, the Fudge Pack got some GAME ALTERING calls to secure the win.

Here are your 2019 NFL Week 7 picks!  Oct 15 - Oct 21 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

SEE POST HERE

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 Record: 4-1-0 (80.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 33-27-0 (55.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (7 weeks) 17-13-0 (56.67 %) VERSUS SVP 27-25  (51.92 %)
NFL 2019 Record (6 weeks):  16-14-0 (53.33 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  18 of 44 (40.91 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  52.5 with spread.  +80 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -2.5 with spread.  +40 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  -18.5 with spread.  -5 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:  -30.0 with spread.  -19 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -126.00  (-18.00/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +114.00 (+16.29/week vs +34.29/week spread)

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