Well That Was Interesting

Complete opposite of normal operation here last week.  Pulled a perfect NCAA week and went horribly in NFL.  I'll blame Vegas for not knowing ANYTHING about 90% of the teams going to week 1.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($1,650) + $1,890 + $0 = $240.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of last week.

Northern Illinois +22 @ Utah  WIN 17 - 35 (Margin +18)  Don't sleep on the Huskies.

South Florida +6.5 @ Georgia Tech WIN 10 - 14 (Margin +4)  Good work.

Nebraska @ Colorado +4.5 WIN 31 - 34 (OT) (Margin -3)  On the field.

San Diego State +8 @ UCLA WIN 23 - 14 (Margin -9)  On the field.  I wish every week was like this.

Miami (FL) @ North Carolina +5 WIN 25 - 28 (Margin -3)  On the field.  That's a dream week.

LAR @ CAR +2.5 LOSS 30 - 27 (Margin +3) Close but no cigar.

KC @ JAX +3.5 LOSS 40 - 26 (Margin +14) Thanks for the 1st quarter Nick.

ATL @ MIN -4 WIN 12 - 28 (Margin -16) Skol BIKES.

SF @ TB (Pick) LOSS 31 - 17 (Margin +14) Jameis has one year left? Probably less.

DEN (Pick) @ OAK LOSS 16 - 24 (Margin +8) Cancer free, the Raiders thrive!

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 3/NFL Week 2 picks!  Sep 10 - Sep 16 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Maryland @ Temple +7

NC State @ West Virginia +7

Oklahoma State @ Tulsa +14

USC at BYU +4

Texas Tech @ Arizona +2.5

LAC @ DET +2.5

KC @ OAK +7

MIN +3 @ GB

JAX @ HOU -9

CLE -2.5 @ NYJ

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 2/NFL Week 1 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 9-6-0 (60.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (2 weeks) 8-2-0 (80.00 %) VERSUS SVP 7-6  (53.85 %)
NFL 2019 Record (1 weeks):  1-4-0 (20.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  5 of 11 (45.46 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -73.0  (-36.5/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +37.0 (+18.50/week vs +55.00/week spread)