The Strangeness Continues

Complete opposite of normal operation here last week - AGAIN.  Pulled a near perfect NCAA week and went horribly in NFL.  I'll blame Vegas for not knowing ANYTHING about 90% of the teams going to week 2.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($2,750) + $3,150 + $0 = $400.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of last week.

Maryland @ Temple +7  WIN 17 - 20 (Margin -3)  On the field.

NC State @ West Virginia +7 WIN 27 - 44 (Margin -17)  On the field.

Oklahoma State @ Tulsa +14 LOSS 40 - 21(Margin +19)  Oh well.

USC at BYU +4 WIN 27 - 30 (2OT) (Margin -3)  On the field.

Texas Tech @ Arizona +2.5 WIN 14 - 28 (Margin -14)  On the field.  That's nearly a dream week.

LAC @ DET +2.5 WIN 10  - 13 (Margin -3) On the field.

KC @ OAK +7 LOSS 28 - 10 (Margin +18) Well they looked okay for a minute.

MIN +3 @ GB LOSS 16 - 21 (Margin +5) Thanks Kirk.

JAX @ HOU -9 LOSS 12 - 13 (Margin -1) Vegas is losing a shit ton of money on the NFL.

CLE -2.5 @ NYJ WIN 23 - 3 (Margin -20) Browns forgot about week 1.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 4/NFL Week 3 picks!  Sep 17 - Sep 23 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Michigan +3.5 @ Wisconsin

Boston College @ Rutgers +7.5

Western Michigan +4.5 @ Syracuse

Washington @ BYU +7

Oregon @ Stanford +11

OAK @ MIN -8.5

ATL @ IND -1.5

NO +4 @ SEA

HOU @ LAC -3

LAR @ CLE +3

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 3/NFL Week 2 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 15-10-0 (60.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (3 weeks) 12-3-0 (80.00 %) VERSUS SVP 10-11  (47.62 %)
NFL 2019 Record (2 weeks):  3-7-0 (30.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  10 of 19 (52.63 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  -55.0 with spread.  +7.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -18.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -54.5 with spread.  -19 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -127.5  (-42.5/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +18.0 (+6.00/week vs +48.50/week spread)