Saturday, September 7, 2019

And We're Off and Running

Solid start to the 2019 season going 3-2 in the somewhat risky NCAAF week 1.  The bank below is tracked throughout the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2019 Theoretical bank is ($550) + $630 + $0 = $80.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss).

Here's a summary of last week.

E. Michigan @ Coastal Carolina +6  LOSS 30 - 23 (Margin +7)  Chants failed me.

Northwestern @ Stanford -6 WIN 7 - 17 (Margin -10)  A rare favorite comes in as a winner.

Georgia @ Vanderbilt +22.5 LOSS 30 - 6 (Margin +24)  That sucks.

Missouri @ Wyoming +17 WIN 31 - 37 (Margin -6)  Double digit dog straight up winner.

Georgia State +22.5 @ Tennessee WIN 38 - 30 (Margin -8)  Have a good season Vols, it was fun while it lasted.

Here are your 2019 NCAA Week 2/NFL Week 1 picks!  Sep 3 - Sep 9 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Northern Illinois +22 @ Utah

South Florida +6.5 @ Georgia Tech

Nebraska @ Colorado +4.5

San Diego State +8 @ UCLA

Miami (FL) @ North Carolina +5

LAR @ CAR +2.5

KC @ JAX +3.5

ATL @ MIN -4

SF @ TB (Pick)

DEN (Pick) @ OAK

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 1/NFL Week 0 Record: 3-2-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2019 Football Season Record: 3-2-0 (60.00 %)
NCAAF 2019 Record (1 week) 3-2-0 (60.00 %) VERSUS SVP 2-3 (40.00 %)
NFL 2019 Record (0 weeks):  0-0-0 (0.00 %)
Overall 2019 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  2 of 4 (50.00 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:     -55.0 with spread.  +7.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -55.0  (-55.0/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +7.0 (+7.00/week vs +62.0/week spread)

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