It's About Time

Good results last week.  Destroyed the point differential.  Time to keep it going.  On to the bank below, we're back to being ONLY down $410 on the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2018 Theoretical bank is ($13,860) + $13,230 + $220 = ($410).  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)

Here's a summary of last week.

Virginia @ Va. Tech +4.5 WIN 31 - 34 (OT) (Margin -3)  On the field.

Washington +2.5 @ Washington State WIN 28 - 15 (Margin -13)  On the field.

Arizona State @ Arizona +2 WIN 41 - 40 (Margin +1)  This line stunk from the word "Go."  Wildcats gave up 69 points last week.  How could they only be getting 2 from ASU?  Should have been on the field, up 19 with 13 min to play.

Oklahoma State @ TCU +5.5 WIN 24 - 31 (Margin -7)  This line stunk as well.  TCU is horrible and the Cowboys just beat West Virginia last week.  TCU wins on the field!

Notre Dame @ USC +11 WIN 17 - 24 (Margin +7)  Another rivalry game looking like upset central for most of the first half.  Irish stormed out of the gates in the 2nd half and USC held on to get the back door cover.

CHI @ DET +3 LOSS 23 - 16 (Margin +7)  Lions found every single way not to win outright in this game.

JAX @ BUF +3 WIN 21 - 24 (Margin -3)  On the field.

CLE +3 @ CIN WIN 35 - 20 (Margin -15)  On the field BIG!

PIT @ DEN +3 WIN 17 - 24 (Margin -7) On the field.

GB @ MIN -3.5 WIN 17 - 24 (Margin -7)  Just a little TCB - you know, takin' care of business.

There's the hot streak I've been waiting for.  15-5 in last 2 weeks.  Let's ride it 'til she bucks.  Not a lot of options out there during conference championship week.

Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 14/NFL Week 13 picks!  Nov 27 - Dec 3 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

UAB +2 @ Middle Tennessee State

Fresno State +2 @ Boise State

UL Lafayette +17.5 @ App. State

Marshall +4 @ Va. Tech

East Carolina +25.5 @ North Carolina State

IND @ JAX +4

CAR @ TB +3.5

BUF +4.5 @ MIA

DEN @ CIN +4

MIN +5 @ NE

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Record: 9-1-0 (90.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 63-61-2 (50.81 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (13 weeks) 30-34-1 (46.88 %) VERSUS SVP 56-51-1 (52.34 %)
NFL 2018 Record (12 weeks):  33-27-1 (55.00 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  30 of 105 (28.57 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:     -5.5 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:     -27.0 with spread.  +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:     -0.5 with spread.  +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:     -22.5 with spread.  +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:     +3.0 with spread.  +56.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:     +0.5 with spread.  +33.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:     +68.0 with spread.  +117.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:     +110 with spread.  +183.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:     +14.5 with spread.  +19.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:   +31.0 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11: +30.0 with spread.  +85.0 straight up.
NFL11/NCAA12: +16.5 with spread.  +45.0 straight up.
NFL12/NCAA13: -74.0 with spread.  -40.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +146.00  (+11.23/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +766.00 (+58.92/week vs +47.69/week spread)