Turkey Day Single and Others

Here I go again (on my own).  It's time for a Turkey Day Single and NCAAF Rivalry week!  On to the bank below, we're down $1,200 on the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2018 Theoretical bank is ($12,760) + $11,340 + $220 = ($1,200).  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)

Here's a summary of last week.

Boston College @ FSU +1.5 WIN 21 - 22 (Margin -1)  This was a stinky poo line.

Michigan State @ Nebraska +1.5 WIN 6 - 9 (Margin -3)  No touchdowns and all field goals make for a boring game.

Mississippi +3 @ Vanderbilt LOSS 29 - 36 (OT) (Margin +7)  Overtime losers suck.

Arizona State +3.5 @Oregon WIN 29 - 31 (Margin +3)  Love the hook!

Arizona +10.5 @ Washington State LOSS 28 - 69 (Margin +41)  One game kills the weekly point differential.

TB +1.5 @ NYG LOSS 35 - 38 (Margin +3)  Stupid Eli.

DEN +7 @ LAC WIN 23 - 22 (Margin -1)  Surprised by the outright win here.

HOU -3 @ WAS LOSS 23 - 21 (Margin -2)  Dumb.

PIT @ JAX +5.5 WIN 20 - 16 (Margin +4)  Bortleservice.

MIN @ CHI -2.5 WIN 20 - 25 (Margin -5)  I don't like being correct in these situations.

I can't wait until these games go 10-0.  Parlay 'em, money line 'em, and tease 'em all.  Guaranteed to go wrong............ until we get hot again.

Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 picks!  Nov 20 - Nov 26 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Virginia @ Va. Tech +4.5

Washington +2.5 @ Washington State

Arizona State @ Arizona +2

Oklahoma State @ TCU +5.5

Notre Dame @ USC +11

CHI @ DET +3

JAX @ BUF +3

CLE +3 @ CIN

PIT @ DEN +3

GB @ MIN -3.5

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 54-60-2 (47.37 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (12 weeks) 25-34-1 (42.37 %) VERSUS SVP 49-49-1 (50.0 %)
NFL 2018 Record (11 weeks):  29-26-1 (52.73 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  24 of 96 (25.00 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:     -5.5 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:     -27.0 with spread.  +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:     -0.5 with spread.  +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:     -22.5 with spread.  +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:     +3.0 with spread.  +56.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:     +0.5 with spread.  +33.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:     +68.0 with spread.  +117.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:     +110 with spread.  +183.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:     +14.5 with spread.  +19.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:   +31.0 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11: +30.0 with spread.  +85.0 straight up.
NFL11/NCAA12: +16.5 with spread.  +45.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +220.00  (+18.33/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +806.00 (+67.17/week vs +48.83/week spread)