Like the Captain of the Titanic, I'm Going Down With This Ship

Do you ever feel like you are just disappearing?  I feel so much like giving up.  So fading myself last week would have resulted in a stellar 7-3 week.  Choose at your own risk how to proceed.  On to the bank below, we're down $1,360 on the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2018 Theoretical bank is ($11,660) + $10,080 + $220 = ($1,360).  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)

Here's a summary of last week.

Mississippi +13 @ Texas A&M LOSS 24 - 38 (Margin +14)  Rebels can score a ton... unless they play the Aggies?  I call BS.

Ohio State @ Michigan State +4 LOSS 26 - 6 (Margin +20)  Way to defend the home field.

Middle Tennessee State @ UTEP +13.5 LOSS 48 - 32 (Margin +16)  Know nothing about this game except that a FG would have made it a winner.

Northwestern @ Iowa -10 LOSS 14 - 10 (Margin +4)  This line was so big it had to be the right side.  The entire public universe thought NWU would cover 10.... so if that was true, why would Vegas let a bunch of suckers win?!

Southern Mississippi +12 @ UAB WIN 23 - 26 (OT) (Margin +3)  The Golden Eagles are my new favorite team.

ATL @ CLE +4 WIN 16 - 28 (Margin -12)  Browns Superbowl 2021 - if the Cavs can do it, anyone can.  #believeland.

NO @ CIN +5.5 LOSS 51 - 14 (Margin +37)  Just a pedestrian effort from the Bengals here.

NE @ TEN +6.5 WIN 10 - 34 (Margin -24)  This is how the Saints/Bengals game was supposed to go.

LAC @ OAK +9.5 LOSS 20 - 6 (Margin +14)  I don't know why, but oddsmakers continue to have way too much faith in the Raiders.  Are they even trying to win?  Their ATS record is the same as their outright record (2-7) and the they have been getting less than a TD for every game except this one, despite losing by an average of 18+ points in all the lost ATS games.

WAS @ TB -3 LOSS 16 - 3 (Margin +13)  So the Redskins lay an egg on defense at home, but turn stout on the road in Tampa.  Good one.

I can't wait until these games go 10-0.  Parlay 'em, money line 'em, and tease 'em all.  Guaranteed to go wrong............ until we get hot again.

Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 picks!  Nov 13 - Nov 19 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Boston College @ FSU +1.5

Michigan State @ Nebraska +1.5

Mississippi +3 @ Vanderbilt

Arizona State +3.5 @Oregon

Arizona +10.5 @ Washington State

TB +1.5 @ NYG

DEN +7 @ LAC

HOU -3 @ WAS

PIT @ JAX +5.5

MIN @ CHI -2.5

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 11/NFL Week 10 Record: 3-7-0 (30.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 48-56-2 (46.15 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (11 weeks) 22-32-1 (40.74 %) VERSUS SVP 46-44-1 (51.11 %)
NFL 2018 Record (10 weeks):  26-24-1 (52.00 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  21 of 88 (23.86 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:     -5.5 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:     -27.0 with spread.  +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:     -0.5 with spread.  +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:     -22.5 with spread.  +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:     +3.0 with spread.  +56.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:     +0.5 with spread.  +33.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:     +68.0 with spread.  +117.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:     +110 with spread.  +183.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:     +14.5 with spread.  +19.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:   +31.0 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11: +30.0 with spread.  +85.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +203.50  (+18.50/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +761.00 (+69.18/week vs +50.68/week spread)