Another 60% week in the books. Not a ton of action this week as we prep for Bowl Season. Could take a stab at a few FCS playoff games. As the post title references Mike McDermott when he's battling back on Teddy KGB in Rounders, that's how the rest of this season has to go. On to the bank below, we're back to being ONLY down $250 on the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).
2018 Theoretical bank is ($14,960) + $14,490 + $220 = ($250). (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)
Here's a summary of last week.
UAB +2 @ Middle Tennessee State WIN 27 - 25 (Margin -2) A walk-off, twelve men in the huddle penalty clinches the Blazers Conference-USA title game.
Fresno State +2 @ Boise State WIN 19 - 16 (OT) (Margin -3) Bulldogs walk-off TD in OT on the blue turf which was covered in snow clinches the Mountain West title game.
UL Lafayette +17.5 @ App. State WIN 19 - 30 (Margin +11) Although they didn't win the game, the Ragin' Cajuns won where it counts in the Sun Belt title game.
Marshall +4 @ Va. Tech LOSS 20 - 41 (Margin +21) Well that wasn't very close.
East Carolina +25.5 @ North Carolina State LOSS 3 - 58 (Margin +55) Those three points came on a last second field goal to avoid the shutout......... and hit the over (#badbeats).
IND @ JAX +4 WIN 0 - 6 (Margin -6) Cody Kessler > Andrew Luck > Blake Bortles.
CAR @ TB +3.5 WIN 17 - 24 (Margin -7) Scam threw a few INTs in this one.
BUF +4.5 @ MIA WIN 17 - 21 (Margin +4) This season, I am thankful for the hook.
DEN @ CIN +4 LOSS 24 - 10 (Margin +14) This one seemed pretty stinky. Driskel taking over and only getting 4 from a Denver team that just beat LAC and PIT.
MIN +5 @ NE LOSS 10 - 24 (Margin +14) The NE secondary deserves a pat (no pun intended) on the back for how disciplined they played all game, committing ZERO PASS INTERFERENCE PENALTIES.
Although I prefer 9-1 weeks, I'll gladly take 6-4 weeks for the rest of eternity. Have to settle for a 5-1 week here. Not enough games on the slate.
Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 15/NFL Week 14 picks! Dec 4 - Dec 10 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)
Navy +7 @ Army (n)
NE @ MIA +7.5
PHI +3.5 @ DAL
DEN @ SF +4.5
LAR @ CHI +3
MIN +3.5 @ SEA
*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time. Link to the Super Contest Rules.
NCAA Week 14/NFL Week 13 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 69-65-2 (51.49 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (14 weeks) 33-36-1 (47.83 %) VERSUS SVP 59-56-1 (51.30 %)
NFL 2018 Record (13 weeks): 36-29-1 (55.38 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins: 34 of 115 (29.57 %)
Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread. Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):
NFL0/NCAA1: -5.5 with spread. +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2: -27.0 with spread. +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3: -0.5 with spread. +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4: -22.5 with spread. +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5: +3.0 with spread. +56.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6: +0.5 with spread. +33.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7: +68.0 with spread. +117.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8: +110 with spread. +183.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9: +14.5 with spread. +19.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10: +31.0 with spread. +72.0 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11: +30.0 with spread. +85.0 straight up.
NFL11/NCAA12: +16.5 with spread. +45.0 straight up.
NFL12/NCAA13: -74.0 with spread. -40.0 straight up.
NFL13/NCAA14: +29.0 with spread. +101.0 straight up.
Total point margin including spread: +175.0 (+12.50/week)
Total point margin straight up: +867.00 (+61.93/week vs +49.43/week spread)
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