All NFL this week. Bowl games are the bane of my existence. On to the bank below, we're back to being down $170 on the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).
2018 Theoretical bank is ($15,620) + $15,120 + $330 = ($170). (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)
Here's a summary of last week.
Navy +7 @ Army (n) PUSH 10 - 17 (Margin +7) Whatever, push is a win.
NE @ MIA +7.5 WIN 33 -34 (Margin -1) Miracle play for the outright win, but the bet was mostly safe.
PHI +3.5 @ DAL LOSS 23 - 29 (OT) (Margin +6) Overtime in NFL is still dumb.
DEN @ SF +4.5 WIN 14 - 20 (Margin -6) On the field. Liquid fire Bronco team loses to crappy Niner team.
LAR @ CHI +3 WIN 6 - 15 (Margin -9) This one was almost hard to convince myself to pick. Almost. On the field - never even close really. Defense still exists in the NFL - maybe some GMs should take notice.
MIN +3.5 @ SEA WIN 7 - 21 (Margin +14) Hard to believe a multi-billion dollar league can still have officiating mistakes that are so blatant. It's quite remarkable.
I don't really want to pick bowl games because it's hard enough to pick college games because you can't trust kids to do anything, but bowl games you really never know who cares about being there. I'm almost surprised Vegas even offers lines (almost).
Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 16/NFL Week 15 picks! Dec 11 - Dec 17 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)
HOU @ NYJ +6
MIA @ MIN -7
TB +7.5 @ BAL
TEN +2.5 @ NYG
SEA @ SF +4.5
*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time. Link to the Super Contest Rules.
NCAA Week 15/NFL Week 14 Record: 3-2-1 (60.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 72-67-3 (51.80 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (15 weeks) 33-36-2 (47.83 %) VERSUS SVP 59-56-1 (51.30 %)
NFL 2018 Record (14 weeks): 39-31-1 (55.71 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins: 37 of 121 (30.58 %)
Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread. Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):
NFL0/NCAA1: -5.5 with spread. +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2: -27.0 with spread. +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3: -0.5 with spread. +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4: -22.5 with spread. +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5: +3.0 with spread. +56.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6: +0.5 with spread. +33.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7: +68.0 with spread. +117.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8: +110 with spread. +183.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9: +14.5 with spread. +19.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10: +31.0 with spread. +72.0 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11: +30.0 with spread. +85.0 straight up.
NFL11/NCAA12: +16.5 with spread. +45.0 straight up.
NFL12/NCAA13: -74.0 with spread. -40.0 straight up.
NFL13/NCAA14: +29.0 with spread. +101.0 straight up.
NFL14/NCAA15: -17.5 with spread. +11.0 straight up.
Total point margin including spread: +157.5 (+10.50/week)
Total point margin straight up: +878.00 (+58.53/week vs +48.03/week spread)
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