Diamonds Are Forever - So Is Ric Flair

The NFL winners keep us afloat again.  First time not beating the spread overall, but that was due to two big blowouts and it was still close.  The last week "almost" picks were also not good.  Buffalo,  Ole Miss, Toledo, and Clemson were all big losers (HUGE).  Ball State and Louisiana Tech were big winners  That's a 2-4 unofficial winners record.  Ugly.  Probably should stop doing those.  On to the bank below, we're up $510 on the short season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2018 Theoretical bank is ($5,060) + $5,460 + $110 = $510.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)

Here's a summary of last week.

Pittsburgh +13.5 @ Central Florida LOSS 14 - 45 (Margin +31) Scotty Frost wants to take back his decision to leave UCF.

Massachusetts +13.5 @ Ohio LOSS 42 - 58 (Margin +16)  Guess I should have taken the over.

Oklahoma State @ Kansas +17 LOSS 48 - 28 (Margin +20)  Well at the least this and the last one weren't blowouts.

BYU @ Washington -17 WIN 7 - 35 (Margin -28)  That's a helluva spread for two "top" 25 teams.

Ohio State @ Penn State +3.5 WIN 27 - 26 (Margin +1) PSU should have won this outright.

CIN +5 @ ATL WIN 37 - 36 (Margin -1)  My goodness does anyone in the NFL play defense?  Or should I ask, is anyone in the NFL ALLOWED to play defense?  Answer: No.

NYJ +7.5 @ JAX LOSS 12 - 31 (Margin +19)  Oh well, can't win 'em all every week.

PHI @ TEN +4 WIN 23 - 26 (OT) (Margin -3)  Gotta be a record for most OT games in the first 4 weeks of the season.  Also you don't often see teams scoring a TD to overcome a FG in OT.  Didn't matter to me as long as the Titans didn't throw a pick six in OT.

HOU +1 @ IND WIN 37 - 34 (OT) (Margin -3)  Speaking of OT and weird OT things, the OT in this game featured three FGs!

KC @ DEN +5 WIN 27 - 23 (Margin +4)  Winner.

I have some real doozies this week that I'm sure everyone will LOVE.  I really like Florida and Mississippi State also, but whatever.  Those below are going 5-0.  Is that a rhyme? Or 3-2. That's all I really want.

Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 picks!  Oct 2 - Oct 8 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Tulane +7.5 @ Cincinnati 

Northwestern @ Michigan State -10

Northern Illinios @ Ball State +3

Kansas State +4.5 @ Baylor

Ohio @ Kent State +12.5

BAL @ CLE +3

NYG +7 @ CAR

GB @ DET +1

MIN @ PHI -3

LAR @ SEA +7

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 26-19-1 (57.78 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (5 weeks) 10-14-1 (41.67 %) VERSUS SVP 18-19-0 (48.65 %)
NFL 2018 Record (4 weeks):  16-5-0 (76.19 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  13 of 40 (32.50 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1: -5.5 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2: -27.0 with spread.  +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -0.5 with spread.  +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  -22.5 with spread.  +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  +3.0 with spread.  +56.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -50.5  (-10.10/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +252.0 (+50.40/week vs +60.50/week spread)