Oh Man, These Are Ugly Games

Tough break on a couple last week. Looks like I should have taken the Gators and Bulldogs.  On to the bank below, we're up $670 on the short season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2018 Theoretical bank is ($6,160) + $6,720 + $110 = $670.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)

Here's a summary of last week.

Tulane +7.5 @ Cincinnati LOSS 21 - 37 (Margin +16) Bearcats aren't even real (right?).

Northwestern @ Michigan State -10 LOSS 29 - 19 (Margin +10)  Must have read the line wrong.  Thanks a lot for showing up, Sparty.

Northern Illinios @ Ball State +3 LOSS 24 - 16 (Margin +8)  Well crap.

Kansas State +4.5 @ Baylor WIN 34 - 37 (Margin +3)  A step in the correct direction.

Ohio @ Kent State +12.5 WIN 27 - 26 (Margin +1) Golden Flashes helping the cause.

BAL @ CLE +3 WIN 9 - 12 (Margin -3)  Browns winning on the field in division versus elite QB Joe Flacco?!

NYG +7 @ CAR WIN 31 - 33 (Margin +2)  Free yards time for Scam after a great effort by Eli.  Where's the D?

GB @ DET +1 WIN 23 - 31 (Margin -8)  I love when Aaron Rodgers loses.  Wipe that smug look right off his face.

MIN @ PHI -3 LOSS 21 - 23 (Margin +2)  Strange when I take favorites that don't even win the game outright.  Trends didn't show much on this game.

LAR @ SEA +7 WIN 33 - 31 (Margin +2)  Seattle nearly pulled this one out also.  Would have been nice for the NFC.

Nearly ran out of time to give out these dandies.  Take them all to the bank! Tease 'em, parlay them all, and take the money line on all of them also.  Just go crazy folks.

Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 picks!  Oct 9 - Oct 15 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Iowa @ Indiana +3.5 

Nebraska +3.5 @ Northwestern

Louisville +12 @ Boston College

Texas A&M @ South Carolina +2.5

Va. Tech @ North Carolina +7

CHI -3 @ MIA

LAC @ CLE +1

ARI +10 @ MIN

SEA @ OAK +3

SF +9.5 @ GB

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 Record: 6-4-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 32-23-1 (58.18 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (6 weeks) 12-17-1 (41.38 %) VERSUS SVP 23-23-1 (50.00 %)
NFL 2018 Record (5 weeks):  20-6-0 (76.92 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  15 of 48 (31.25 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1: -5.5 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2: -27.0 with spread.  +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  -0.5 with spread.  +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  -22.5 with spread.  +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  +3.0 with spread.  +56.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  +0.5 with spread.  +33.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -50.0  (-8.33/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +285.0 (+47.50/week vs +55.83/week spread)