A Duck Pulled a Truck!

Continue rolling in week 2, adding the NFL to the mix.  Time to get pistol hot!  Kentucky (duck - last year this was Tennessee) ended a run of 31 or 32 straight losses to Florida (truck) and I didn't have that as one of my winners?!  Wonder what the trends were saying, I don't recall that game drawing my interest.  The Vols got beat on the last play of the game last year, so a duck pulled a truck for about 59 minutes and 55 seconds.

2018 Theoretical bank is ($1,760) + $1,890 + $110 = $240.  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)

Here's a summary of last week.

TCU @ SMU +23.5 LOSS 42 - 12 (Margin +30)  After opening up a 9-0 lead with 5 minutes to play in the 1st quarter, SMU had the entire 2nd half to score one more TD and couldn't do it.  Silly.

Mississippi State @ Kansas State +7.5 LOSS 31 - 10 (Margin +21)  That's not the Bill Snyder team I know.

Duke +3 @ Northwestern WIN 21 - 7 (Margin -14)  Winning on the field (not just in the spread).

Kansas +5 @ Central Michigan WIN 31 - 7 (Margin -24)  Who would have thought I'd have two Kansas schools in my picks this week and KU is the one to be a winner (ON THE FIELD!).

Utah @ Northern Illinois +11 PUSH 17 - 6 (Margin +11)  Bad beat central. Featured on SVP. Down 10-6 late, NIU throws a pick-6. In the end, a push is a win.

PIT @ CLE +3.5 WIN 21 - 21 (OT) (Margin +0)  Browns had this game for the taking, multiple times late and in OT.

SF @ MIN -6.5 WIN 16 - 24 (Margin -8)  Not a fantastic performance but a win is a win is a win.

TB +9.5 @ NO WIN 48 - 40 (Margin -8)  ON THE FIELD!

CIN @ IND -3 LOSS 34 - 23 (Margin +11)  Indy was winning this game for most of it, so it looked like I might get lucky.  Then the Bengals outscored the Colts 17-0 in the 4th quarter.

TEN @ MIA +1.5 WIN 20 - 27 (Margin -7)  Four hours of weather delays.  Ugly.

LAR @ OAK +4 LOSS 33 - 13 (Margin +20)  Winning at half, blown out for the game.  Come on Chuckie, figure it out.

On to this week; surprisingly there were a lot of favorites I wanted this week. Ended up with a couple actually making the board.  Here are a few I wrote down but didn't go with: FSU, Purdue, SDSU, Ohio, and Auburn.  The other line that stinks to high heaven is North Texas is only catching 6.5 or 7 points from Arkansas.  Someone remind me, but Arkansas is still in the SEC, correct?

Here are your 2018 NCAA Week 3/NFL Week 2 picks!  Sep 11 - Sep 17 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Ball State @ Indiana -15

Miami @ Toledo +12

Hawai'i @ Army -6.5

New Mexico @ New Mexico State +4

Eastern Michigan +3.5 @ Buffalo

LAC @ BUF +7

MIN @ GB +7

PHI @ TB +3.5

NE @ JAX +1

KC @ PIT -4

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 2/NFL Week 1 Record: 6-4-1 (60.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 9-6-1 (60.00 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (2 weeks) 5-4-1 (55.56 %) VERSUS SVP 3-9-0 (25.00 %)
NFL 2018 Record (1 week):  4-2-0 (66.67 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  4 of 14 (28.6 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1: -5.5 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2: -27.0 with spread.  +32.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -32.5  (-16.25/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +104.0 (+52.00/week vs +68.25/week spread)