I Wish I Could Give 'Em All

Oh my goodness, I LOVE the board this week.  So many collegiate games that fit the profile, but I will only pick 5.  I'm going to choose the games I think are the ugliest, therefore, they have the best chance of winning.  NFL slate is not the same.  A couple ugly ones though.  Here's a list of NCAA games I wrote down, but didn't put on the pick list.  Illinois, Buffalo, Northwestern, UTEP, Kansas, Kent State.... So if any of those win, I'm taking credit.  If they all lose, I'll take credit for NOT picking them. Any way it goes, I'm winning.

Here's what happened last week.

South Florida @ East Carolina +21 LOSS 61 - 31 (Margin +30)  Only a 7 point deficit at half.

Ohio @ Massachusetts +5.5 LOSS 58 - 50 (Margin +8)  Talk about points! So close.

Houston @ Temple +13 WIN 20 - 13 (Margin +7)  Don't mess with the Owls.

UConn +17.5 @ SMU LOSS 23 - 49 (Margin +26)  8 point game heading to 4th quarter, where are my backdoor covers?

North Texas +7.5 @ So. Mississippi WIN 43 - 28 (Margin -15)  The Mean Green don't lay down for anyone.

JAX @ NYJ +3.5 WIN 20 - 23 (OT) (Margin -3)  Winning!

BUF +7.5 @ ATL WIN 23 - 17 (Margin -6)  Nice little surprise outright win there.

DET @ MIN -2.5 LOSS 14 - 7 (Margin +7)  Three turnovers in second half equals loss.

PIT @ BAL +3  LOSS 26 - 9 (Margin +17)  The Ravens look good this year......

LAR +6.5 @ DAL WIN 35 - 30 (Margin -5)  Another little outright winner surprise on the leg of Greg Z with what has to be a record seven field goals.


Here are your 2017 NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 Picks!  Oct 3 - Oct 9 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Notre Dame @ North Carolina +16

Marshall @ Charlotte +15

UL Monroe @ Texas State +7

LSU +2.5 @ Florida

Miami (FL) @ Florida State +3

CAR +2.5 @ DET

BUF @ CIN -3

ARI +6.5 @ PHI

KC @ HOU +0 (Pick)

MIN -3 @ CHI

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 Record: 5-5-0 (50.0 %)
Overall 2017 Football Season Record: 26-20-0 (56.5 %)
NCAAF 2017 Record (5 weeks) 13-12-0 (52.0%) VERSUS SVP 15-17-1 (46.1 %)
NFL 2017 Record (4 weeks):  13-8-0 (61.9 %)
Overall 2017 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  14 of 41 (34.1 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread):

NFL0/NCAA1:  +11.5 with spread.  +54.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -9.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  +44.0 with spread.  +105.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  -67.5 with spread.  -10.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -16.5 with spread.  +66.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -37.5  (-7.5/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +245.0 (+49.0/week vs +56.5/week spread)