Skol Bikes

Title of the post is referencing how my phone auto-corrects when talking about the Vikes.  Stupid technology.  Solid last week with good chances to win all the bets except probably the Chargers game.  Rivers was awful or the Chef D was good. Who cares if I win 60%?!  Let's go BIKES!

Here's what happened last week.

West Virginia @ Kansas +23 WIN 56 - 34 (Margin +22)  Oh my this game was all over the place.

Florida @ Kentucky +2.5 WIN 28 - 27 (Margin +1)  Wildcats should have won this game outright.  At least Florida didn't miss the PAT and send it to OT.

Rutgers +12 @ Nebraska WIN 27 - 17 (Margin +10)  Talk about scraping by this week.

San Diego St. @ Air Force +3.5 LOSS 28 - 24 (Margin +4)  Just missed the other way.  Falcons had this one!

Hawai'i +5 @ Wyoming LOSS 21 - 28 (OT) (Margin +7)  Don't throw picks in OT - it's a sure way to lose.

BAL @ JAX (London) +3.5 WIN 7 - 44 (Margin -37)  Who are the Jags? Nobody knows.

CLE -1 @ IND LOSS 28 - 31 (Margin +3)  When is the last time the Browns were favored on the road?  I happen to have that info: Oct 19, 2014. Opponent: The 0-5 Jags. So that doesn't even really count (Browns still lost that game BTW).  Browns have only been favored 9 times away from the dog pound in the last 20 years.  Had to take this one because it was so ridiculous.

OAK @ WAS +3 WIN 10 - 27 (Margin -17)  Stifling defense and electric offense.  That's what we expect from the Skins. Oh wait, it's not? Well they still did it.

KC @ LAC +3  LOSS 24 - 10 (Margin +14)  Why do oddsmakers continue to give the Chargers credit?  Because they lost on last second FG misses the first two weeks, didn't look good in this one though - offensively.  Defense held them in the whole game despite 3 INTs from Rivers.

TB @ MIN +3 WIN 17 - 34 (Margin -17)  I'm feelin' Thielen.  Can you Diggs it?!


Here are your 2017 NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 Picks!  Sep 26 - Oct 2 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

South Florida @ East Carolina +21

Ohio @ Massachusetts +5.5

Houston @ Temple +13

UConn +17.5 @ SMU

North Texas +7.5 @ So. Mississippi

JAX @ NYJ +3.5

BUF +7.5 @ ATL

DET @ MIN -2.5

PIT @ BAL +3

LAR +6.5 @ DAL

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 4/NFL Week 3 Record: 6-4-0 (60.0 %)
Overall 2017 Football Season Record: 21-15-0 (58.3 %)
NCAAF 2017 Record (4 weeks) 11-9-0 (55.0%) VERSUS SVP 12-14-1 (46.1%)
NFL 2017 Record (3 weeks):  10-6-0 (62.5 %)
Overall 2017 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  10 of 32 (31.3 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread):

NFL0/NCAA1:  +11.5 with spread.  +54.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -9.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  +44.0 with spread.  +105.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  -67.5 with spread.  -10.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -21.0  (-5.25/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +179.0 (+44.75/week vs +50.0/week spread)