Friday, December 2, 2016

Time For Some NFL

Remember last week when I said, "Well it all comes down to this.  Can we finish in the black?"  I'm not sure what I was thinking.  There are plenty of weeks of football left and although I won't likely pick winners from college bowl games, I will give out NFL picks.  Also, someone once told me after losing a bet on a conference championship game, "That's why you don't bet on conference championship games."  Even though that was about basketball, I might stay away from the football games too.

Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 14/NFL Week 13 Picks!  Nov 29 - Dec 5 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

DEN @ JAX +3.5  LOSS

DET @ NO -6  LOSS

BUF +3 @ OAK  LOSS

TB @ SD -3.5  LOSS

WAS @ ARI -1  WIN

Here's what last week looked like:

  • Ball St. +7.5 @ Miami (Oh.) WIN 20 - 21 (Margin +1)  In tribute to the "Boom goes the dynamite" kid, the Cardinals nearly pull off a win.

  • Arkansas @ Missouri +7.5 WIN 24 - 28 (Margin -4)  Missouri is terrible and they win outright coming from behind, down 17 at half.

  • West Virginia @ Iowa St. +8 LOSS 49 - 19 (Margin +30)  After keeping it close in the first half, the Cyclones turned it over a few times in the second half and somehow gave up 341 passing yards on 13 completions.  For you non-math majors out there, that's about 26 yards per completion.

  • Navy @ SMU +7 LOSS 75 - 31 (Margin +44)  Navy scored 75 points.  Again, this game was close at half and then Navy exploded.  Two huge momentum plays to start the second half and SMU threw in the towel, I guess?  A 50 yard rush TD and a pick-6 in the first 1:49 of the half.

  • Tennessee @ Vanderbilt +7.5 WIN 34 - 45 (Margin -11)  Who knew that Vandy could score that many?

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Record: 3-2-0

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 32-31-3 (50.8 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (13 weeks) 25-27-2

NFL 2016 Record (12 weeks):  7-4-1

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  22 of 59 (37.3 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.
NCAA Week 5:  +13.5 with spread.  +31 straight up.
NCAA Week 6:  -74 with spread.  -35 straight up.
NCAA Week 7:  -26 with spread.  +20 straight up.
NCAA Week 8:  +21.5 with spread.  +37 straight up.
NCAA Week 9:  +12 with spread.  +46 straight up.
NCAA Week 10:  -18.5 with spread.  +28 straight up.
NCAA Week 11:  +6.5 with spread.  +29 straight up.
NCAA Week 12:  +72 with spread.  +83 straight up.
NCAA Week 13:  +22.5 with spread.  +60 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +27.5  (+2.11/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +459 (+35.3/week vs +33.2/week spread)

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