Put Me Out of My Misery, or Show Me the Money

Well it all comes down to this.  Can we finish in the black?  Probably only if we go 5-0.  I'll take 4-1.  It all depends on rivalry week (for some?)  Not sure if the first game is between rivals or not, but it would appear that maybe the other two SEC games are maybe rivals.  At least Tennessee and Vandy are in-state rivals, but is it really a "rivalry" that anyone outside the state cares about? Nope.  Arkansas and Missouri share a border, but the Tigers are pretty new to the SEC, who did Arkansas play their last game against before Missouri? Is it even the same every year? Do I really care? Nope.  Can't imagine Navy and SMU really feeling like rivals.  Just about as much as WVU and Iowa St.  So much for rivalry week.  Take the Wolverines to keep it close if you want.  I'd also take Alabama no matter what the line.  They are proven world beaters and should roll tide over anyone they face in the next 4 games (this week, SEC Champ, Playoff game 1, NCAA Champ game).

Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Picks!  Nov 22 - Nov 28 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Ball St. +7.5 @ Miami (Oh.)  WIN

Arkansas @ Missouri +7.5  WIN

West Virginia @ Iowa St. +8  LOSS

Navy @ SMU +7  LOSS

Tennessee @ Vanderbilt +7.5  WIN

Here's what last week looked like:

• Iowa @ Illinois +9.5 LOSS 28 - 0 (Margin +28)  The trip to the Champaign room was not everything we'd hoped it would be.  Game was close for a while.  Jeff George Jr. would have at least scored some points. Damn you Wes Lunt.


• Oklahoma St. @ TCU -5 LOSS 31 - 6 (Margin +25)  Again, how could TCU be favored and the line moving up despite NO ONE betting on them?  Vegas has a serious problem of being stupid right now.  Either my trend data is garbage or the oddsmakers are on holiday break a little early.


• Miami (FL) @ NC State +3 LOSS 27 - 13 (Margin +14)  No comment.


• Washington St. @ Colorado -6 WIN 24 - 38 (Margin -14)  The only bright spot of the week.


• Stanford @ Cal +11 LOSS 45 - 31 (Margin +14) Ed's son was unstoppable.  Finally put that "can't score road TDs" nonsense to bed.


• Arkansas @ Mississippi St. -1.5 LOSS 58 - 42 (Margin +16)  This line was so terrible it had to be right.  Either that or Vegas likes losing money.  You figure it out, because I can't.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 Record: 1-5-0

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 29-29-3 (50.0 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (12 weeks) 22-25-2

NFL 2016 Record (11 weeks):  7-4-1

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  20 of 54 (37.0 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.
NCAA Week 5:  +13.5 with spread.  +31 straight up.
NCAA Week 6:  -74 with spread.  -35 straight up.
NCAA Week 7:  -26 with spread.  +20 straight up.
NCAA Week 8:  +21.5 with spread.  +37 straight up.
NCAA Week 9:  +12 with spread.  +46 straight up.
NCAA Week 10:  -18.5 with spread.  +28 straight up.
NCAA Week 11:  +6.5 with spread.  +29 straight up.
NCAA Week 12:  +72 with spread.  +83 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +5  (+0.42/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +399 (+33.3/week vs +32.8/week spread)