Thursday, November 10, 2016

This Is Why People Don't Make Money On Sports Gambling

Shocking the world with these picks this week.  Two Thursday games going against top 25 teams and a favorite?  What is going on here?  Guess I'm bucking the trend.  Also, I'm unofficially taking credit for all four of my non-official winners last week (anti Utah St., NC St. +5.5, Alabama -8.5, and Ohio St. -17).  It's my blog, I can do whatever I want.

Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 11/NFL Week 10 Picks!  Nov 8 - Nov 14 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

North Carolina @ Duke +11.5  WIN

Utah @ Arizona St. +6  LOSS

Penn St. @ Indiana +7.5  LOSS

Tulsa +1 @ Navy  LOSS

Vanderbilt @ Missouri -3.5  WIN

Here's what last week looked like:

  • Texas A&M @ Mississippi St. +12 WIN 28 - 35 (Margin -7)  Hope you enjoyed your time at the #4 ranked spot TAMU, it was fun while it lasted.

  • TCU +8.5 @ Baylor WIN 62 - 22 (Margin -40)  Keep the straight up winners coming!

  • Missouri +6.5 @ South Carolina LOSS 21 - 31 (Margin +10)  After keeping it close and tying the game early in the 3rd quarter, the Cocks scored a TD and tacked on a FG, while the Tigers failed to score again (2 missed FGs and 2 interceptions).

  • Arizona +17  @ Washington St. LOSS 7 - 69 (Margin +62)  Loss is an understatement.  This annihilates my point differential for the week.  Was looking good after games 1 and 2.

  • Georgia @ Kentucky +2.5 LOSS 27 - 24 (Margin +3)  Lost on a last second FG.  Dumb.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 10/NFL Week 9 Record: 2-3-0

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 26-21-3 (55.3 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (10 weeks) 19-17-2

NFL 2016 Record (9 weeks):  7-4-1

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  19 of 50 (38 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.
NCAA Week 5:  +13.5 with spread.  +31 straight up.
NCAA Week 6:  -74 with spread.  -35 straight up.
NCAA Week 7:  -26 with spread.  +20 straight up.
NCAA Week 8:  +21.5 with spread.  +37 straight up.
NCAA Week 9:  +12 with spread.  +46 straight up.
NCAA Week 10:  -18.5 with spread.  +28 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -73.5  (-7.4/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +287 (+28.7/week vs +36.1/week spread)

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