Can I Get A..........

Jay-Z asked that question once.  The words that ended the question rhymed with "Luck Too."  Sometimes I want to ask that question to the Utah States and Georgia Southerns of the world.  Really any team that gets blown out when the betting trends says they should keep it close or win.  Coincidentally, Utah State looks like the right side again, but I am not taking them.  I'm also not going against FSU with a stinker.  Also, LSU getting 7 at home seems to be too low for an Alabama team that appear to be world beaters this year.  And there is another line that looks to be so ridiculous that I wanted to take it because it stinks to high heaven, but it's a favorite.  The Buckeyes, who haven't beat the last 4 spreads (3 of 4 were 19 points or more and the other was 10), are laying 17 at home versus Nebraska whose first loss came in OT last week.  Now I've thought the Huskers were overrated all year, but they still took Wisco to OT at Camp Randall.  That was surprising.  Funny, who else needed OT to beat Wisco at Camp Randall (Hint: It was Ohio State).  Yet, Ohio State is favored by 3 scores.  I almost talked myself into it right now.  Lay the points and watch the Buckeyes roll.  I'll just say I told you so next week (or deny everything I just said).

It certainly is a grind, this season.  Survived by the skin of my teeth last week.  Get ready for yet another week of dogs.  How many will win outright?  I guess we'll just have to wait and see.

Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 10/NFL Week 9 Picks!  Nov 1 - Nov 7 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Texas A&M @ Mississippi St. +12 WIN

TCU +8.5 @ Baylor  WIN

Missouri +6.5 @ South Carolina  LOSS

Arizona +17  @ Washington St.  LOSS

Georgia @ Kentucky +2.5  LOSS

Here's what last week looked like:

• App. St. @ Georgia So. +4.5 LOSS 34 - 10 (Margin +24)  Good start for the week.


• San Diego St. @ Utah St. +6 LOSS 40 - 10 (Margin +30)  Game 2 and we go deeper in the hole.


• Army +7 @ Wake Forest WIN 21 - 13 (Margin -8)  Go Black Knights.


• Tennessee @ South Carolina +13.5 WIN 21 - 24 (Margin -3)  Oh this one was my favorite.  Prime picking.


• NYJ @ CLE +3 PUSH 31 - 28 (Margin +3)  Browns were up, then down, and then lost by 3.  That's about all.  Push is a win.  Even if this one doesn't feel like it.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 9/NFL Week 8 Record: 2-2-1

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 24-18-3 (57.1 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (9 weeks) 17-14-2

NFL 2016 Record (8 weeks):  7-4-1

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  17 of 45 (37.8 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.
NCAA Week 5:  +13.5 with spread.  +31 straight up.
NCAA Week 6:  -74 with spread.  -35 straight up.
NCAA Week 7:  -26 with spread.  +20 straight up.
NCAA Week 8:  +21.5 with spread.  +37 straight up.
NCAA Week 9:  +12 with spread.  +46 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -55  (-6.1/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +259 (+28.8/week vs +34.8/week spread)