That's One Strong Duck

As it turns out, a Duck can pull a Truck.  If you don't know what I'm talking about, it is referring to the comments a Florida player made prior to their game against Tennessee.  Something about Florida being the Truck and Tennessee being the Duck and that the Gators were a sure thing to win.  Despite the post title, I didn't make my pick based on some dumb kid's funny comment.  The numbers were there and the Gators held a 21-3 lead at half.  The Duck took some insta-roid/HGH/speed/cocaine mix at half time and came out to pull that Truck anywhere it pleased.  What a meltdown.  Add the bad beat of UCLA in there and it was a good week!  Three outright winners for dogs including two from the city of Buffalo!  Go Bulls and Bills!

Despite the powers of the Duck, I still like Georgia right now, but I didn't include it in the picks.  Pulled it off the board because the Redhawks of Miami were screaming at me.

Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 Picks!  Sep 27 - Oct 3 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Ohio @ Miami (Ohio) +3 LOSS

Michigan State @ Indiana +6.5 WIN

DET @ CHI +3 WIN

DEN @ TB +3  LOSS

DAL @ SF +2  LOSS

Here's what last week looked like:

• Army @ Buffalo +14 WIN 20 - 23 (Margin -3) Comeback win for those Bulls (too bad the same couldn't be said for USF's Bulls).


• Florida +4.5 @ Tennessee  LOSS 38 - 28 (Margin +10) After a fairly dominating first half, the Gators forgot to play defense in the second half and gave up 5 TDs.


• Stanford @ UCLA +3  LOSS 22 - 13 (Margin +9)  This game was a winner until 24 seconds left in the game when Stanford kicked the PAT to make it a 3 point game.  So then it was going to be a push.  PUSH is a win.  Then Stanford sacked the QB with no time left and ran the ball back for a worthless TD (for the game, not the betting public).  What a horrendously bad beat.  Yes SVP had this game as I predicted.


• ARI @ BUF +4  WIN 18 - 33 (Margin -15)  Buffalo was up from start to finish.  The wise guys had faith in that new offensive coordinator.


• PIT @ PHI +3.5  WIN 3 - 34 (Margin -31)  Get on the Wentz wagon?  This line was pretty stinky.  I still can't explain what happened.  Didn't watch the game, but saw the score change as the Eagles apparently dominated from start to finish?

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 4/NFL Week 3 Record: 3-2-0

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 12-7-1 (63.2 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (4 weeks) 9-7-1

NFL 2016 Record (3 weeks):  3-0-0

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  6 of 20 (30 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -2  (-0.5/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +160 (+40/week vs +40.5/week spread)