Friday, October 7, 2016

Tennessee Is Luckier Than Auburn's 2013 Squad

That duck came up with another miracle comeback after Georgia had them on the ropes.  Maybe that is putting it lightly.  Georgia takes the lead with 10 seconds left and somehow loses.  Remember when Auburn had that ridiculous stretch of games back in 2013.  There was a tipped ball that fell right into the receivers hands.  Then ran back the ill-advised FG attempt in the Iron Bowl to win the SEC West.  Then won the SEC champ game only to get hosed by a weak PI call in the Natty Title game.  Maybe they weren't that lucky on that one.

Hopefully got some winners down there.  I think they look good.  5 dimes has Cleveland catching 12. Everyone else has 10.5.  Take the best line you can get.

Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 Picks!  Oct 4 - Oct 10 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Cincinnati @ UConn +3 WIN

Houston @ Navy +17.5 WIN

Va. Tech +1.5 @ North Carolina WIN

New England @ Cleveland +12 LOSS

Atlanta +5 @ Denver WIN

Here's what last week looked like:

  • Ohio @ Miami (Ohio) +3 LOSS 17 - 7 (Margin +10) Defensive TD for Ohio with 1:30 left in the game.  Miami lost their starting QB during the game also.  A little bit unlucky here.

  • Michigan State @ Indiana +6.5 WIN 21 - 24 OT (Margin -3) Sparty almost spoiled this game by tying the game up with another last second TD.  But then Indiana won because they are better and Sparty is a big pretender this year.

  • DET @ CHI +3 WIN 14 - 17 (Margin -3)  Bears get their first win against a crappy Lions team in the NFC North's "Battle for the Basement."

  • DEN @ TB +3 LOSS 27 - 7 (Margin +20)  The Bucs couldn't even stop Paxton Lynch from scoring TDs.  Still can't figure how they were only getting 3 points.

  • DAL @ SF +2 LOSS 24 - 17 (Margin +7)  Is Dak ever going to turn the ball over?  That would have been nice in this game.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 5/NFL Week 4 Record: 2-3-0

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 14-10-1 (58.3 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (5 weeks) 10-8-1

NFL 2016 Record (4 weeks):  4-2-0

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  8 of 25 (32 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.
NCAA Week 5:  +13.5 with spread.  +31 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +11.5  (+2.3/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +191 (+38.2/week vs +35.9/week spread)

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