Update from before Christmas

All NFL again this week.  Bowl games continue to be the bane of my existence.  NEARLY OUT OF THE HOLE.  On to the bank below, we're back to being down $90 on the season (based on a $110 bet on each game with -110 odds).

2018 Theoretical bank is ($16,170) + $15,750 + $330 = ($90).  (Total amount wagered + winnings + money returned from pushes = net profit/loss)

Here's a summary of last week.

HOU @ NYJ +6  LOSS 29 - 22 (Margin +7)  Close but no cigar.

MIA @ MIN -7 WIN 17 - 41 (Margin -24)  New O coordinator + home game + crappy opponent + 2 game losing streak = dominating win.

TB +7.5 @ BAL LOSS 12 - 20 (Margin +8)  My goodness we were close again to a big week.

TEN +2.5 @ NYG WIN 17 - 0 (Margin -17)  Not sure what this was about.

SEA @ SF +4.5 WIN 23 - 26 (OT) (Margin -3)  This might be my favorite win of the season - not to mention OUTRIGHT! Overtime was scary since SF was leading all game.

Well the NFL continues to follow the "trends" that I like and we are rolling here towards the end of the season. I already posted these next picks, and well they went 4-1 so bite me.  Feels good to be good right now.

Here are your 2018 NFL Week 16 picks!  Dec 18 - Dec 24 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

KC @ SEA +2.5

TB +7.5 @ DAL

MIN -5.5 @ DET

CHI @ SF +4

DEN @ OAK +2.5

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.

**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 16/NFL Week 15 Record: 3-2-0 (60.00 %)
Overall 2018 Football Season Record: 75-69-3 (52.08 %)
NCAAF 2018 Record (16 weeks) 33-36-2 (47.83 %) VERSUS SVP 59-56-1 (51.30 %)
NFL 2018 Record (15 weeks):  42-33-1 (56.00 %)
Overall 2018 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  39 of 125 (31.20 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:     -5.5 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:     -27.0 with spread.  +32.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:     -0.5 with spread.  +12.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:     -22.5 with spread.  +78.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:     +3.0 with spread.  +56.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:     +0.5 with spread.  +33.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:     +68.0 with spread.  +117.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:     +110 with spread.  +183.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:     +14.5 with spread.  +19.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:   +31.0 with spread.  +72.0 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11: +30.0 with spread.  +85.0 straight up.
NFL11/NCAA12: +16.5 with spread.  +45.0 straight up.
NFL12/NCAA13: -74.0 with spread.  -40.0 straight up.
NFL13/NCAA14: +29.0 with spread.  +101.0 straight up.
NFL14/NCAA15: -17.5 with spread.  +11.0 straight up.
NFL 15/NCAA16:  -42.5 with spread. -29.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +115.0  (+7.19/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +849.00 (+53.06/week vs +45.87/week spread)