Turkey Day Winners

Gobble these up.

Theoretical bank is ($13,420) + $13,440 + $440 = $460.

Here's what happened last week.  Bears and Browns really bent me over.  One with terrible beat on late defensive TD with the game in hand and one was a missed FG that would have sent it to OT - not that it would have been a winner for sure, but the Bears also gave up a terrible defensive TD on a fumbled snap, which is literally impossible.  Fumbled snaps turn into DOG-PILES, not effing TDs. Baylor Bears were leading too, and literally needed one score in the 4th quarter. Cripes.  Not to mention we went negative in point diff this week.......... without the spread. Still a .500 week, which is LOSING.

So. Alabama @ Georgia So. +5 WIN 0 - 52 (Margin -52)  That's right.  The 0-9 Georgia Southern Eagles won their first game of the season by 52.

Purdue +7.5 @ Iowa WIN 24 - 15 (Margin -9)  But the Hawkeyes beat the tar out of the Buckeyes.  Makes no sense.

Iowa State @ Baylor +9 LOSS 23 - 13 (Margin +10)  C'mon Bears, score a couple points.

Missouri @ Vanderbilt +8.5 LOSS 45 - 17 (Margin +28)  Oh boy, one of those bad ones.

Marshall @ UTSA +1 WIN 7 - 9 (Margin -2)  Road Runners don't lay down for anybody.

DET @ CHI +2.5 LOSS 27 - 24 (Margin +3)  Nice kick Conor Barth.

KC @ NYG +10.5 WIN 9 - 12 (Margin -3)  What an ugly one - aside from being a WINNER!

JAX @ CLE +7.5 LOSS 19 - 7 (Margin +12)  Bad beat of the year in NFL (of my picks).

LAR @ MIN -2 WIN 7 - 24 (Margin -17)  The Bikes are now 7-2-1 ATS this year. How about that?

NE @ OAK +6.5 LOSS 33 - 8 (Margin +25)  Give me a break Los Raiders.

Here are your 2017 NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Picks!  Nov 21 - Nov 27 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

New Mexico +20 @ San Diego State

Western Kentucky @ Florida International +2.5

Connecticut @ Cincinnati -5.5

North Texas @ Rice +11

Arkansas State @ UL Monroe +8

MIN -3 @ DET

LAC -2.5 @ DAL

NYG +7.5 @ WAS

CAR @ NYJ +4.5

SEA @ SF +6.5

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 Record: 5-5-0 (50.0 %)
Overall 2017 Football Season Record: 64-54-4 (54.2 %)
NCAAF 2017 Record (12 weeks) 36-27-2 (57.1%) VERSUS SVP 43-36-1 (54.4 %)
NFL 2017 Record (11 weeks):  28-27-2 (50.9 %)
Overall 2017 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  37 of 103 (35.9 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  +11.5 with spread.  +54.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -9.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  +44.0 with spread.  +105.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  -67.5 with spread.  -10.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -16.5 with spread.  +66.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  +33.5 with spread.  +80.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:  -11.5 with spread.  +33.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:  +9.5 with spread.  +49.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:  -60 with spread.  -41.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:  +47.0 with spread.  +173.0 straight up.
NFL10/NCAA11:  -25.5 with spread.  +6.0 straight up.
NFL11/NCAA12:  -61.0 with spread. -5.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -105.5  (-8.79/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +540.0 (45.0+/week vs +53.79/week spread)