It's Turning Into a Grind

I might have been a few barley pops deep when I made these picks, but there were so many I liked, that I went with 10.  Started off good, then went cold in the night games.  NFL was horrible.

Theoretical bank is ($11,220) + $11,130 + $440 = $350.

Here's what happened last week.

Clemson @ NC State +7.5 WIN 38 - 31 (Margin +7)  Thank goodness for the hook.

Colorado +4 @ Arizona St. LOSS 30 - 41 (Margin +11)  No good.

New Mexico St. @ Texas St. +10 PUSH 45 - 35 (Margin +10)  Push is a win.

Georgia St. @ Georgia So. +4 PUSH 21 - 17 (Margin +4)  Throw out the records when these two teams get together!  They must have because Georgia So. was 0-7 entering the game only catching 4.

Appalachian St. @ UL Monroe +9.5 WIN 45 - 52 (Margin -7)  On the field.

Coastal Carolina +24 @ Arkansas WIN 38 - 39 (Margin +1)  Should have been on the field.  Crazy talk the 1-8 Chanticleers could compete with big bad SEC team.

Wake Forest +14 @ Notre Dame WIN 37 - 48 (Margin +11)  Good enough.

San Diego St. @ San Jose St. +23.5 LOSS 52 - 7 (Margin +45)  Maybe if the Spartans wouldn't have given up 554 yards on the ground they would have covered the spread.

Oregon St. +7.5 @ California LOSS 23 - 37 (Margin +14)  One back door TD away.

Stanford -1 @ Washington St. LOSS 21 - 24 (Margin +3)  Weak.

LAR @ NYG +3.5 LOSS 51 - 17 (Margin +34)  Talk about a stinker.

TB +7 @ NO LOSS 10 - 30 (Margin +20)  My goodness the wheels have fallen off this week.

DEN +8.5 @ PHI LOSS 23 - 51 (Margin +28)  If you wanna crown them, then crown their ass.

KC @ DAL +1 WIN 17 - 28 (Margin -11)  Rare bright spot.

OAK @ MIA +3 PUSH 27 - 24 (Margin +3)  Thank goodness for a late 2 pointer.

Here are your 2017 NCAA Week 11/NFL Week 10 Picks!  Nov 7 - Nov 13 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

See previous post.

*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time.  Link to the Super Contest Rules.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 10/NFL Week 9 Record: 5-7-3 (41.67 %)
Overall 2017 Football Season Record: 53-45-4 (54.1 %)
NCAAF 2017 Record (10 weeks) 29-24-2 (54.7%) VERSUS SVP 33-30-1 (52.4 %)
NFL 2017 Record (9 weeks):  24-21-2 (53.3 %)
Overall 2017 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  29 of 86 (33.7 %)

Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread.  Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):

NFL0/NCAA1:  +11.5 with spread.  +54.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2:  -9.0 with spread.  +30.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3:  +44.0 with spread.  +105.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4:  -67.5 with spread.  -10.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5:  -16.5 with spread.  +66.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6:  +33.5 with spread.  +80.0 straight up.
NFL6/NCAA7:  -11.5 with spread.  +33.0 straight up.
NFL7/NCAA8:  +9.5 with spread.  +49.0 straight up.
NFL8/NCAA9:  -60 with spread.  -41.0 straight up.
NFL9/NCAA10:  +47.0 with spread.  +173.0 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -19.0  (-1.9/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +539.0 (+53.9/week vs +55.8/week spread)