If You Ain't A Gator, You're Gator Bait!

Not a bad 3-2 record for last week.  Should have been a 4-1 record, but Nebraska failed to choke like they have in the post-Osborne era.  The Gators defense covered the spread (the offense still isn't 13.5 points better than anybody).  Guess I was Gator bait.

Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 8/NFL Week 7 Picks!  Oct 18 - Oct 24 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Oregon +3 @ California  PUSH (2OT)

East Carolina +2.5 @ Cincinnati  LOSS

Wyoming @ Nevada +6  LOSS

BUF @ MIA +3  WIN

TB @ SF +1  LOSS

Here's what last week looked like:

• Nebraska @ Indiana +3.5 LOSS 27 - 22 (Margin +5)  Huskers added a FG with 48 seconds left after a long clock killing drive.


• Vanderbilt +14 @ Georgia WIN 17 - 16 (Margin -1)  Despite giving up 421 yards of offense and only gaining 171 yards of total offense, Vandy keeps it close and squeaks out a win.  Scored points on 3 "drives" by way of a long kick return and penalty, a shanked punt, and two long pass plays.


• Missouri +13.5 @ Florida LOSS 14 - 40 (Margin +26)  Fluke game.  After a 0-0 first quarter, Mizzou's QB decided to throw 2 scores for the Gators.  Despite the 2 INT returns for TDs, the Tigers were only one score away from a back door cover with 1:23 to play.  Then Florida ran back the onside kick for good measure.


• Utah @ Oregon St. +7.5 WIN 19 - 14 (Margin +5)  Defensive battle.  Despite missing a FG in the 4th quarter and going down two scores with 3:25 to play, the Beavers drive to score a TD to get within 5.  Utah DOESN'T return the onside kick and the Beavers even get the ball back for a chance at a miracle comeback.  At least they didn't throw a pick-six from deep in their own territory.


• PIT @ MIA +7.5 WIN 15 - 30 (Margin -15)  The NFL is strange sometimes.  How can the Steelers not move the ball against Miami?  I know Big Ben went out, but he came back after one drive!

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 Record: 3-2-0

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 21-13-1 (61.7 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (7 weeks) 15-10-1

NFL 2016 Record (6 weeks):  6-3-0

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  14 of 35 (40 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.
NCAA Week 5:  +13.5 with spread.  +31 straight up.
NCAA Week 6:  -74 with spread.  -35 straight up.
NCAA Week 7:  -26 with spread.  +20 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  -88.5  (-12.6/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +176 (+25.1/week vs +37.7/week spread)