Friday, September 16, 2016

Fade Material

SVP had a rough week in WINNERS last week, but we didn't!  Kept up the amazing start to 2016.  Kind of makes me want to put down real money.  Hold on there, tiger. Let's try to rein in the cockiness before we get bit.  Keep your eye on the prize.  Close some tail. Should have been 5-0 last week. Thanks a lot UConn.  Question: If you were the coach of UConn and had zero time outs with 12 seconds remaining and were down 4 points with the ball on the 1 yard line, would you:

A) Call a running play
B) Call a passing play
C) Take a knee
D) Combination of A and C

If you chose A, C, or D, then you must have the same number of working brain cells as the UConn coach. Congratulations.  Sure if the running play works out, you'd never question the call. But seriously, you have to know that is the only play that you have time to run.  Goal line runs get stacked up and take lots of time to sort out.  So if you don't get in the endzone, you aren't running another play because half of your line will still be under a pile of people 15 seconds after the whistle blows.  It's not like it was 4th down either. It was 2nd down. Could have gotten off 3 more plays.


Here are your 2016 NCAA Week 3/NFL Week 2 Picks!  Sep 16 - Sep 19 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Miami (FL) @ App. State +4 LOSS

Army @ UTEP +4  LOSS

Ohio St. @ Oklahoma +1 LOSS

Navy @ Tulane +5.5  LOSS

Georgia @ Missouri +6.5  WIN


Here's what last week looked like:

  • Connecticut +4 @ Navy PUSH 24 - 28 (Margin +4) Nice call on last play of the game....

  • Central Mich. +21 @ Oklahoma St. WIN 30 - 27 (Margin -3)  Expected the cover, but not the outright win.  Choke job by the Cowboys!

  • North Dakota +21.5 @ Bowling Green WIN 26 - 27 (Margin +1)  Sioux go for two and the win......... but come up short.

  • Virginia +24 @ Oregon WIN 26 - 44 (Margin +18)  Oregon scored a late meaningless TD that would have lost this bet had the play not been negated for a holding call.

  • GB @ JAX +5 WIN 27 - 23 (Margin +4)  Nearly had another outright win.  Game winning TD was dropped in the endzone!  I hate the Packers.

Here is a breakdown of the season as of right meow.

NCAA Week 2/NFL Week 1 Record: 4-0-1

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 8-1-1 (88.9 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (2 weeks) 7-1-1

NFL 2016 Record (1 weeks):  1-0-0

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  3 of 10 (30 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up

Total point margin including spread:  -38  (-19/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +74 (+37/week vs +56/week spread)

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