It's Official, Student Athletes Are Conspiring Against Me

Good thing the NCAAF season close is upon us.  I don't think I could survive too many more weeks.  I can't imagine posting winners for bowl games.  Those are a bigger crap shoot than the regular season and I don't think it's close.  Anyway, the results from last week have been updated on the original post here.  Also, here is a brief summary, including a short synopsis of this weeks action:

• Troy -1 @ Georgia St. LOSS 31 - 21 (Margin +10)  This line moved so much into Troy's favor, I thought it was the stone-cold lock of the century of the week.


• Washington St. @ Washington -7.5 WIN 10 - 45 (Margin -35)  This line was off all week and then suddenly there it was, and it looked ripe for the favorite.  Line was moving up despite only about 30% of ATS bets on the favorite.


• UMass +6.5 @ Buffalo WIN 31 - 26 (Margin -5)  Minutemen jumped out front and really never looked back, only surrendering the lead once.


• Va. Tech @ Virginia +3.5 WIN 23 - 20 (Margin +3)  Kept it close all game and surrendered a late FG to secure the win.


• Georgia @ Ga. Tech +4 LOSS 13 - 7 (Margin +6)  Yellow Jackets kept it close, but not close enough.  Lost turnover margin 0-3 and missed a FG that would have brought home the bacon.


• North Carolina @ NC State +3.5 LOSS 45 - 34 (Margin +11)  This line moved so much into NC State's favor, I thought it was the second stone-cold lock of the century of the week.


• Northwestern @ Illinois +3.5 LOSS 24 - 14 (Margin +10)  This line was kind of stinky.  It was a 10 point game for nearly the entire 4Q.  Illini couldn't find a way to get the back door cover.  Also missed two FGs.


• OAK @ TEN +1 LOSS 24 - 21 (Margin +3)  Titans took the lead with 4:41 to go.  They gave it right back with 1:21 remaining and then turned it over three offensive plays later.  Oakland was bailed out by a holding call on 4th down during their eventual scoring drive (I'm sure it was a bullshit call!)  


• ARI @ SF +10 WIN 19 - 13 (Margin +6)  Tie game late in the fourth.  Didn't seem to ever be in danger of losing this one after the game started.  Line was down to +7.5 at kickoff.


• TB @ IND -3 WIN 12 - 25 (Margin -13)  Matt Hasselbeck continues to be awesome.  Who needs that other guy?  What was his name again?

NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Record: 5-5-0

Overall 2015 Football Season Record: 44-47-4 (48.4%)

NCAAF 2015 Record (10 weeks) 30-39-3
NFL 2015 Record (10 weeks):  14-8-1

Overall 2015 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  24 of 87 (27.6%)

Point Differential by week:

Week 1:  -0.5 with spread.  +64 straight up.
Week 2:  -40.5 with spread.  +32 straight up.
Week 3:  +90 with spread.  +160 straight up.
Week 4:  -18 with spread.  +50 straight up.
Week 5:  +10.5 with spread.  +51 straight up.
Week 6:  +97 with spread.  +242 straight up.
Week 7:  +5 with spread.  +87 straight up.
Week 8:  +113.5 with spread.  +213 straight up.
Week 9:  +0.5 with spread.  -7 straight up.
Week 10:  -24.5 with spread.  -4 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +233  (+23.3/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +888  (+88.8/week vs +65.5/week spread)

Here are your NCAA Week 14/NFL Week 13 Picks!  Dec 1 - Dec 7 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Florida +17.5 @ Alabama (neutral site)  WIN

Michigan St. @ Iowa +3.5 (neutral site)  WIN

CIN @ CLE +9.5  LOSS

ARI @ STL +5  LOSS

DEN @ SD +3.5 (EDIT 11:49 AM Sunday 12/6/15 This line jumped up to 6 points this morning.... That does not bode well for this bet.)  LOSS

PHI +10.5 @ NE  WIN