Friday, November 27, 2015

Go by the See-Saw, Smoke a J? You know what I'm Talkin' About?

Back and forth, back and forth.  Gotta take the highs with the lows.  You know what else is good?  Yoo-Hoo with a little bit of rum in it.  No, I'm not talkin' about Rumpelstiltskin.  Anyway, the results from last week have been updated on the original post here.  Also, here is a brief summary, including a short synopsis of why things went the way they did:
  • Rutgers @ Army +4.5 LOSS 31 - 21 (Margin +10)  Army threw an INT in the red zone during the middle of the 4Q and never got the ball back.

  • North Carolina @ Va. Tech +4 WIN 30 - 27 OT (Margin +3)  This was heading to bad beat central when it hit OT.  Luckily the Hokies kicked a FG and UNC scored a TD instead of forcing double OT.

  • LSU @ Ole Miss -6.5 WIN 17 - 38 (Margin -21)  Rarely are favorites given out here, but this was one of three this week.  Rebels jumped out to a 24-0 lead before the Bayou Bengals roared back with 3 scores of their own to bring it back to a 7 point margin.  Looks like the turnover bug burned the Tigers (can't say for sure, didn't watch).

  • Michigan St. @ Ohio St. -13.5 LOSS 17 - 14 (Margin +3)  How does a team with the longest winning streak in the country and "the three best QBs all on the same team" only manage five effing first downs against a team that gave up 39 points to NEBRASKA.  Oh yeah, Sparty also started a back-up QB.  I could go insane trying to figure out this game, so I'll just chalk it up to stupid college kids choking when it counts most.

  • OAK @ DET -1 WIN 13 - 18 (Margin -5)  Look at those pesky Lions getting a couple wins in a row for me.  

  • DAL @ MIA +1 LOSS 24 - 14 (Margin +10)  Romo comes back and Miami continues to be Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde.

  • NYJ @ HOU +4 WIN 17 - 24 (Margin -7)  Wouldn't be a week without an outright underdog win.  This bet actually made sense.  Texans in first place after a big win on MNF, a reason to play hard.  Good thing the public was still all over the Jets.

NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 Record: 4-3-0

Overall 2015 Football Season Record: 39-42-4 (48.1%)

NCAAF 2015 Record (9 weeks) 27-35-3
NFL 2015 Record (9 weeks):  12-7-1

Overall 2015 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  22 of 80 (27.5%)

Point Differential by week:

Week 1:  -0.5 with spread.  +64 straight up.
Week 2:  -40.5 with spread.  +32 straight up.
Week 3:  +90 with spread.  +160 straight up.
Week 4:  -18 with spread.  +50 straight up.
Week 5:  +10.5 with spread.  +51 straight up.
Week 6:  +97 with spread.  +242 straight up.
Week 7:  +5 with spread.  +87 straight up.
Week 8:  +113.5 with spread.  +213 straight up.
Week 9:  +0.5 with spread.  -7 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +257.5  (+28.6/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +892  (+99.1/week vs +70.5/week spread)

Here are your NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Picks!  Nov 24 - Nov 30 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Troy -1 @ Georgia St.  LOSS

Washington St. @ Washington -7.5  WIN

UMass +6.5 @ Buffalo  WIN

Va. Tech @ Virginia +3.5  WIN

Georgia @ Ga. Tech +4  LOSS

North Carolina @ NC State +3.5  LOSS

Northwestern @ Illinois +3.5  LOSS

OAK @ TEN +1  LOSS

ARI @ SF +10  WIN

TB @ IND -3  WIN

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