Sunday, December 13, 2015

Things That Make You Go Hmmmmm.

The wild ride for college football is over, at least as this blog is concerned.  As I wrote in the previous post, I have zero faith in picking bowl games straight up, let alone ATS.  I'm sure they'll be some decent picks when we get to the larger bowls.  Anyway, the results from last week have been updated on the original post here.  Also, here is a brief summary, including a short breakdown of last week's winners:
  • Florida +17.5 @ Alabama WIN 15 - 29 (Margin +14)  After watching this game and realizing how bad Florida's offense is, I can't believe this won.

  • Michigan St. @ Iowa +3.5 WIN 16 - 13 (Margin +3)  What a defensive battle, looked good to keep it close all game.  Nearly pulled off the out right win, but that last drive was incredible for Sparty.

  • CIN @ CLE +9.5 LOSS 37 - 3 (Margin +34)  Man do the Browns miss McCown, and that's saying something.

  • ARI @ STL +5 LOSS 27 - 3 (Margin +24)  Dumb.

  • DEN @ SD +3.5 LOSS 17 - 3 (Margin +14)  Phil Rivers could use some help on the O-line.  I saw this line jump up to 6 on Sunday morning.  Not good!

  • PHI +10.5 @ NE WIN 35 - 28 (Margin -7)  As bad as the Eagles have been, this is a big line in the NFL.  Pats D is banged up also, not to mention Gronk and Edelman.  Keep the outright underdog winning streak alive!


NCAA Week 14/NFL Week 13 Record: 3-3-0

Overall 2015 Football Season Record: 47-50-4 (48.5%)

NCAAF 2015 Record (11 weeks) 32-39-3

NFL 2015 Record (11 weeks):  15-11-1

Overall 2015 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  25 of 93 (26.9%)

Point Differential by week:

Week 1:  -0.5 with spread.  +64 straight up.
Week 2:  -40.5 with spread.  +32 straight up.
Week 3:  +90 with spread.  +160 straight up.
Week 4:  -18 with spread.  +50 straight up.
Week 5:  +10.5 with spread.  +51 straight up.
Week 6:  +97 with spread.  +242 straight up.
Week 7:  +5 with spread.  +87 straight up.
Week 8:  +113.5 with spread.  +213 straight up.
Week 9:  +0.5 with spread.  -7 straight up.
Week 10:  -24.5 with spread.  -4 straight up.
Week 11:  +32.5 with spread.  +82 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +265.5  (+24.1/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +970  (+88.2/week vs +64.1/week spread)

Here are your NFL Week 14 Picks!  Dec 8 - Dec 15 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

SEA @ BAL +11.5  LOSS

DAL +7 @ GB  LOSS

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