2016 Season Final Update

Well I ended in the black on NFL by one game.  If all of those games were wagered with the same odds and same values, that would still be a net loss.  Using the standard wager $110 to win $100, that would be a net loss of $50.  Flip one game (change record to 17-14-1) to make a lucrative profit of $160 on a $3,520 investment.  2016 picks were better by a whopping 2% from 2015.  Hurray.  No week 17 picks.

Last year (2015) looked like this:

Overall 2015 Football Season Record: 47-52-4 (47.4%)

NCAAF 2015 Record (11 weeks) 32-39-3

NFL 2015 Record (12 weeks):  15-13-1

Here's what last week looked like:

• WAS @ CHI +3 LOSS 41 - 21 (Margin +20)  Nice work bears.


• TB @ NO -3  WIN 24 - 31 (Margin -7)  Go saints.


• ATL @ CAR +3 LOSS 33 - 16 (Margin +17)  Ouch.


• SD @ CLE +5 WIN 17 - 20 (Margin -3)  Never count out the dog pound.


• MIN @ GB -6.5 WIN 25 - 38 (Margin -13)  Fudge the pack.

Here is a breakdown of the 2016 season.

NFL Week 16 Record: 3-2-0

Overall 2016 Football Season Record: 41-42-3 (49.4 %)

NCAAF 2016 Record (14 weeks) 25-27-2 (48.1 %)

NFL 2016 Record (15 weeks):  16-15-1 (51.6 %)

Overall 2016 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  25 of 72 (34.7 %)

Point Differential by week:

NCAA Week 1:  +13.5 with spread.  +50 straight up.
NCAA Week 2:  -51.5 with spread.  +24 straight up.
NCAA Week 3:  +95 with spread.  +116 straight up.
NCAA Week 4:  -59 with spread.  -30 straight up.
NCAA Week 5:  +13.5 with spread.  +31 straight up.
NCAA Week 6:  -74 with spread.  -35 straight up.
NCAA Week 7:  -26 with spread.  +20 straight up.
NCAA Week 8:  +21.5 with spread.  +37 straight up.
NCAA Week 9:  +12 with spread.  +46 straight up.
NCAA Week 10:  -18.5 with spread.  +28 straight up.
NCAA Week 11:  +6.5 with spread.  +29 straight up.
NCAA Week 12:  +72 with spread.  +83 straight up.
NCAA Week 13:  +22.5 with spread.  +60 straight up.
NCAA Week 14:  +42 with spread.  +38 straight up.
NFL Week 14:      -3 with spread.  +15 straight up.
NFL Week 15:      +44 with spread.  +45 straight up.
NFL Week 16:      +12.5 with spread.  +14 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +123  (+7.23/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +571 (+33.6/week vs +26.4/week spread)