Thursday, October 22, 2015

Can't Win With 'Em, Can't Coach With 'Em. Can't Do It!

Still hanging in there in my fourth week of action.  The results have been updated on the original post here.  Also, here is a brief summary:

  • Marshall @ FAU +5.5  LOSS 33 - 17 (Margin +16) Oh well.  Can't win 'em all.

  • Ga. State +13.5 @ Ball State  WIN 31 - 19 (Margin -12) Classic example of the system at work.  Reverse line movement, despite a large majority of the public bets being placed on Ball State.  I knew nothing about the two teams involved, but just based on the numbers, it came out a winner.

  • Nevada @ Wyoming +6.5  WIN 21 - 28 (Margin -7) Win-less Wyoming is gonna cover against a 3-3 Nevada team?  Who needs records or stats?  I certainly didn't look at either.  Another classic example of the system.  System has two outright winners this week (hopefully not just luck - we'll keep track of those from now on).

  • Vanderbilt +2.5 @ South Carolina  LOSS 10 - 19 (Margin +9)  No more Spurrier.  Vandy manages to keep it a 9 point game and only give up 1 TD despite a -3 turnover margin.

  • BC +15.5 @ Clemson  LOSS 17 - 34 (Margin +17) Anemic BC offense.  I hate Clemson. Someone beat them and prove me right.  Trap game. At Miami this week. Book it.

  • TCU @ ISU +20.5  LOSS 45 - 21 (Margin +24)  Looking pretty good after holding a 7 point 1st quarter lead.  All the Cyclones needed to do was put up any kind of points for the remaining 3 quarters.  Went for it on 4th whilst in FG range twice in 4th quarter.

  • DEN @ CLE +4 WIN 26 - 23 OT (Margin +3)  Denver continues to live on the edge.  A long defensive TD and 75 yard passing TD kept Cleveland from winning outright.  OT was horrible and had "bad beat" written all over it.  Luckily Denver continued the trend of being bad on offense.

NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 Record:  3-4-0

Overall 2015 Football Season Record:  18-15-2 (54.54%)

NCAAF 2015 Record (4 weeks) 14-14-1
NFL 2015 Record (4 weeks):  4-1-1

Since my picks will almost never be favorites, I'll track the outright wins of the underdogs in my picks.

Overall 2015 Football Underdog Outright Wins:  11 of 35

Here are your NCAA Week 8/NFL Week 7 Picks!  Oct 20 - Oct 26 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Memphis @ Tulsa +10.5  LOSS

Penn St. @ Maryland +6.5  WIN

Mid. Tenn St. +7.5 @ La. Tech  LOSS

Missouri @ Vanderbilt +3 (Edit: added @ 11:23 AM CDT on Friday 10/23/15)  WIN

HOU +5 @ MIA  LOSS

OAK +4 @ SD  WIN

NO +4 @ IND  WIN

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