and I'm........... RIDING THE STORM OUT!

Week 6 picks didn't turn out like I would have hoped, but I think a lot of them were close.  There were a few others that I didn't put out there because I had too many already.  Check out my note sheet if you don't believe me!

Ga. St +18.5
No. Tex. +9.5
Minn +14
Temple +10
Wa. St. +12

The board was just primed for picking winners.  So many of the games had reverse line movement and a low percentage of bets on that side.  The results have been updated on the original post here.  Also, here is a brief summary, including a short synopsis of why I think the bet lost:

• Marshall @ Charlotte +17 LOSS 34 - 10 (Margin +24)  One TD away from push.  Charlotte had 1st and 10 at the Marshall 11 yard line with 2:30 to go.


• Troy +23.5 @ App. St. WIN 41 - 44 3OT (Margin +3)  One of the bright spots this week.  Troy takes App. St. to triple OT before losing after trying a fake FG.  Would have been nice for a huge dog to have a straight up winner, but alas it was not to be.


• Nebraska @ Purdue +7.5 WIN 45 - 55 (Margin -10)  The Huskers were starting the 2nd string QB and got behind early.  Purdue scored more points in this game than they had in all of 2015 B1G play (3 games).


• Illinois +4 @ Penn St. LOSS 0 - 39 (Margin +39)  I have no words.  This one hurts the point diff.


• C. Mich @ Akron +3 LOSS 14 - 6 (Margin +8)  One TD away.  Multiple chances.  This game did not have a score after 13:05 left in the 3rd quarter. Zzzzzzzzzz.


• Clemson @ NC St. +10.5 LOSS 56 - 41 (Margin +15)  NC St. had two possessions in the last 5 minutes.  One of those included a uncovered WR in the end zone that didn't get the ball thrown to him on 3rd down.


• Georgia +2 @ Florida LOSS 3 - 27 (Margin +24)  I don't even care.  This one was stinky so I was sure it was going to come in, because I hated it.


• Tulsa @ SMU +2.5 LOSS 40 - 31 (Margin +9)  Oh look, one TD away from cover.  Where have I seen that before.  Yes, the Mustangs had the ball in plus territory with time to score a meaningless TD with under a minute to go.


• Texas @ ISU +5.5 WIN 0 - 24 (Margin -24)  Outright winner.  Love those home dogs.  Maybe that should be my rule.  Home dogs with reverse line movement and low percentage public money.


• Vanderbilt +12 @ Houston LOSS 0 - 34 (Margin +34)  I don't even want to look at this box score.


• Tennessee-Martin +37 @ Arkansas WIN 28 - 63 (Margin +35)  Finally got a back-door cover.  Might be the first this season.  Game was a 3 TD game early 3rd quarter.  It turned to a 6 TD game in the blink of an eye.  Way to fight back T-Mart!  I love Skyhawk football.


• OK St. @ Tex. Tech +1.5 LOSS 70 - 53 (Margin +17)  In a game that featured 1,300+ yards of total offense, it did look promising for Tex Tech to win outright early in the game.  They jumped out to a 17-0 lead and were leading by 10 at half.  If they only wouldn't have given up 4 TDs of 59+ yards in the 2nd half, maybe they would have had it.  I'm not guaranteeing anything, though.


• Air Force @ Hawaii +6.5 LOSS 58 - 7 (Margin +51)  The Rainbow Warrior team must have spent all day surfing.  Only TD was a kickoff return (they got a lot of practice with those during this game).  Only managed 7 first downs.


• TB +8 @ ATL WIN 23 - 20 OT (Margin -3)  Outright winner!  Pleasantly surprised.  This one kind of stunk.  Line had actually gone to +7 on some books.  Took an ATL TD with 17 seconds left to get it to OT.


• ARI @ CLE +6 LOSS 34 - 20 (Margin +14)  Browns were leading by 10 at half.  Then they didn't score again.


• CIN @ PIT -1.5 LOSS 16 - 10 (Margin +6)  Steelers blew this game.  Lead the entire game until 3 minutes left.  Then choked some more.  PIT was right side so I'm not mad.


• MIN @ CHI -1 23 - 20 (Margin +3)  Glad this lost because it was my team that won AND it doesn't count to my record. 

NCAA Week 9/NFL Week 8 Record: 5-11-0

Overall 2015 Football Season Record: 27-29-2 (48.2%)

NCAAF 2015 Record (6 weeks) 20-25-1
NFL 2015 Record (6 weeks):  7-4-1

Overall 2015 football picks that were underdog outright wins:  17 of 58 (29%)

Point Differential by week:

Week 1:  -0.5 with spread.  +64 straight up.
Week 2:  -40.5 with spread.  +32 straight up.
Week 3:  +90 with spread.  +160 straight up.
Week 4:  -18 with spread.  +50 straight up.
Week 5:  +10.5 with spread.  +51 straight up.
Week 6:  +97 with spread.  +242 straight up.

Total point margin including spread:  +138.5  (+23.1/week)
Total point margin straight up:  +599  (+99.8/week vs +76.75/week spread)

Here are your NCAA Week 10/NFL Week 9 Picks!  Nov 3 - Nov 9 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)

Virginia +6 @ Miami (FL)  PUSH

Charlotte +17 @ Florida Int'l  PUSH

Wisconsin @ Maryland +10.5  WIN

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Ga. St. +2.5  WIN

Iowa @ Indiana +6.5 (Added Sat 11/7/15 at 2:07 PM CST)  LOSS

Marshall @ Midd. Tenn St. -2.5 (Added Sat 11/7/15 at 2:07 PM CST)  WIN

UConn @ Tulane +5 (Added Sat 11/7/15 at 11:03 AM CST)  WIN

MSU @ Nebraska +6 (SVP convinced me that this is the dumbest line of the year, so it has to be right)  WIN

ISU +24.5 @ Oklahoma (EDIT right before kickoff this line jumped 1.5 to +25. Based on this I am losing confidence in this bet.  I should take it off the board but I will let it ride)  LOSS

NYG @ TB +2.5  LOSS

CHI +4 @ SD  WIN